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New Zealand Northern League

Bay Olympic vs Auckland FC Reserves Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

FT 4–3 (HT 2–1)

Corners4–9
Yellow cards2–1
Red cards1–0
Shots on target11–14
Shots off target10–16
Attacks86–82
Dangerous attacks43–42
Possession41%–59%
Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.28 – 1.65
Avg goals2.93
Our pickAway
Bay Olympic 29% Draw 26% Auckland FC Reserves 45%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 45% 2.22 1.80
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.36 1.17
Goals 3.25 Under +13% Value 62% 1.61 1.78
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.68 –
Asian handicap 0.5 Home +7% Value 55% 1.82 1.95
Corners 10.5 Over 54% 1.87 1.85
Correct score – 1-1 +5% Value 12% 8.07 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.30  ·  Draw 3.90  ·  Away 1.80
Goals 3.25 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85
Corners 10.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.5 Bay Olympic
10.8 Expected corners
4.4 Auckland FC Reserves

Bay Olympic corner stats · Auckland FC Reserves corner stats

Corner line 10.50
Over 54% Under 46%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.8 corners here; Bay Olympic are forecast for 6.5.
  • Bay Olympic matches average 11.24 total corners (5.92 won per game) across their last 25 with corner data.
  • Bay Olympic games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
  • Auckland FC Reserves win 5.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.54 over their last 13.
  • Auckland FC Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
  • Bay Olympic matches average 3.52 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
  • Games involving Auckland FC Reserves produce 3.46 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 62% probability.

Bay Olympic — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 H W Auckland FC Reserves 4–3 4–9
2026-07-29 A L Auckland City 1–5 2–5
2026-07-18 A D East Coast Bays 2–2 4–3
2026-07-11 A D Melville United 1–1 7–4
2026-07-04 A L Auckland FC Reserves 1–4 4–5
2026-06-27 H L Fencibles United 1–2 10–4
2026-06-20 A W Tauranga City AFC 2–1 8–3
2026-06-06 H W Manukau United 1–0 8–1
2026-06-01 H L Birkenhead United 2–6 1–10
2026-05-29 A L Western Springs AFC 0–3 4–3

Auckland FC Reserves — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A L Bay Olympic 3–4 9–4
2026-07-18 H L Fencibles United 1–2 3–2
2026-07-04 H W Bay Olympic 4–1 5–4
2026-07-01 A L Auckland City 0–2 3–7
2026-06-27 H W Manukau United 3–2 14–3
2026-06-19 H L Western Springs AFC 0–1 7–2
2026-06-06 A L Birkenhead United 0–2 2–11
2026-05-28 H W Auckland United FC 2–0 6–3
2026-05-22 H L Eastern Suburbs Auckland 0–1 2–12
2026-05-15 H L Auckland City 1–3 4–10

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Bay Olympic vs Auckland FC Reserves?
Our model gives Bay Olympic a 29% chance, the draw 26% and Auckland FC Reserves 45%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Bay Olympic vs Auckland FC Reserves?
The corner model projects 10.8 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.