Elite Club Friendlies
Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.11 – 0.49
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Bayer Leverkusen 75%
Draw 19%
Rot-Weiss Essen 6%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 75% | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 94% | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 | 17% | 6.03 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.20 · Draw 5.50 · Away 10.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 57 recent matches, Bayer Leverkusen games produced 9.44 corners on average — 4.98 taken by Bayer Leverkusen themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of Bayer Leverkusen matches.
- Rot-Weiss Essen matches average 11.59 total corners (5.68 won per game) across their last 44 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 61% of Rot-Weiss Essen matches.
- Games involving Bayer Leverkusen produce 3.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- Rot-Weiss Essen matches average 3.66 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Bayer Leverkusen — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Genk | 4–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Kickers Offenbach | 3–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D Hamburg | 1–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L VfB Stuttgart | 1–3 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W RB Leipzig | 4–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Cologne | 2–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | L Bayern Munich | 0–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Augsburg | 1–2 | 11–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Borussia Dortmund | 1–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Wolfsburg | 6–3 | 12–2 |
Rot-Weiss Essen — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Borussia M'gladbach | 1–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Schwarz Weiss Essen | 5–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | L Greuther Furth | 0–2 | 5–9 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Greuther Furth | 1–0 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W SSV Ulm 1846 | 3–2 | 12–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Verl | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L VfB Stuttgart II | 1–6 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Saarbrucken | 1–2 | 10–7 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Cottbus | 3–5 | 6–8 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W FC Ingolstadt | 4–1 | 14–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
- Our model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 75% chance, the draw 19% and Rot-Weiss Essen 6%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.