China Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.43 – 1.31
Avg goals3.74
Our pickHome
Beijing Guoan 61%
Draw 20%
Zhejiang 19%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Over | 51% | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 67% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Home | 51% | 1.96 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 53% | 1.88 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +56% Value | 9% | 10.89 | 17.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 4.33 · Away 5.00 |
| Goals 3.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.2
Beijing Guoan
9.8
Expected corners
3.6
Zhejiang
Beijing Guoan corner stats · Zhejiang corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.8 corners in this match, with Beijing Guoan winning 6.2 of them.
- Beijing Guoan matches average 10.71 total corners (6.17 won per game) across their last 42 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 62% of Beijing Guoan matches.
- Zhejiang win 4.61 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.21 over their last 33.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 39% of Zhejiang matches.
- Games involving Beijing Guoan produce 3.69 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
- Zhejiang matches average 3.45 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 11.2 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.50 (51%).
Beijing Guoan — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Chengdu Rongcheng | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | W Dalian Kewei | 2–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | D Liaoning Ironman | 1–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Shandong Taishan | 2–0 | 12–0 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Wuhan Three Towns | 1–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | W Guangdong GZ-Power | 2–1 | 12–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Henan | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | D Qingdao West Coast | 1–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-15 | H | W Qingdao Hainiu | 4–2 | 1–2 |
Zhejiang — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Dalian Young Boy | 3–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | W Qingdao Hainiu | 3–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Shanghai Shenhua | 2–3 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Qingdao West Coast | 1–3 | 7–7 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | D Shaanxi Union | 1–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Henan | 2–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Liaoning Ironman | 0–5 | 9–0 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | W Shandong Taishan | 4–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | D Shanghai Port | 2–2 | 2–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang?
- Our model gives Beijing Guoan a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Zhejiang 19%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.