BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Prediction

Match trends

• Our model projects 9.3 corners in this match, with BFC Daugavpils winning 4.7 of them.
• BFC Daugavpils win 4.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.62 over their last 42.
• Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of BFC Daugavpils matches.
• Across 40 recent matches, FS Jelgava games produced 10.48 corners on average — 4.73 taken by FS Jelgava themselves.
• Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of FS Jelgava matches.
• Games involving BFC Daugavpils produce 2.81 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
• FS Jelgava matches average 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
• Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.5 goals.
• Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.4 corners.
• On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (58%).

BFC Daugavpils — last 10 matches

FS Jelgava — last 10 matches

Match questions

Who is predicted to win BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?

Our model gives BFC Daugavpils a 51% chance, the draw 27% and FS Jelgava 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.

How many corners are expected in BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?

The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.

How are these predictions calculated?

Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.