MathPredictions
▾

USA USL Championship

Birmingham Legion FC vs Rhode Island FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.08 – 1.40
Avg goals2.48
Our pickAway
Birmingham Legion FC 28% Draw 29% Rhode Island FC 43%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 43% 2.31 2.00
Double chance – Draw or away 72% 1.38 1.26
Goals 2.5 Under 55% 1.82 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 51% 1.96 1.73
Asian handicap 0.25 Away 51% 1.98 1.85
Corners 9.5 Under 65% 1.54 2.03
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.18 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.00  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.00
Goals 2.75 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85
Corners 8 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.3 Birmingham Legion FC
8.4 Expected corners
4.1 Rhode Island FC

Birmingham Legion FC corner stats · Rhode Island FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 35% Under 65%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.4 corners in this match, with Birmingham Legion FC winning 4.3 of them.
  • Birmingham Legion FC win 4.27 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.00 over their last 33.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Birmingham Legion FC matches.
  • Across 40 recent matches, Rhode Island FC games produced 8.25 corners on average — 4.10 taken by Rhode Island FC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Rhode Island FC matches.
  • Games involving Birmingham Legion FC produce 2.73 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 70%.
  • Rhode Island FC matches average 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.
  • Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 8.8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (55%).

Birmingham Legion FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A L Louisville City FC 1–2 1–10
2026-07-12 H W Tulsa 3–1 13–4
2026-07-06 A D Miami FC 1–1 10–6
2026-07-03 H L Detroit City FC 1–2 5–6
2026-06-21 H D Loudoun United FC 1–1 5–5
2026-06-18 A D Oakland Roots 1–1 4–10
2026-06-14 H L Las Vegas Lights FC 1–2 2–7
2026-06-10 H W Corpus Christi FC 3–0 6–5
2026-06-04 H D Louisville City FC 1–1 2–6
2026-05-24 A L Monterey Bay FC 0–2 4–4

Rhode Island FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–0 4–6
2026-07-19 H W Hartford Athletic 1–0 9–2
2026-07-12 H D Brooklyn FC 1–1 4–10
2026-07-09 A L Sacramento Republic 1–2 3–7
2026-07-05 H D Orange County SC 1–1 10–2
2026-06-14 A W Loudoun United FC 4–1 3–1
2026-06-07 H W Westchester SC 3–0 6–1
2026-05-31 A L Indy Eleven 0–1 6–6
2026-05-24 H W Brooklyn FC 4–1 2–3
2026-05-17 A L Portland Hearts of Pine 1–2 10–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Birmingham Legion FC vs Rhode Island FC?
Our model gives Birmingham Legion FC a 28% chance, the draw 29% and Rhode Island FC 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Birmingham Legion FC vs Rhode Island FC?
The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 35% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.