UK Friendlies
Blackpool vs Port Vale Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.32 – 1.30
Avg goals2.62
Our pickHome
Blackpool 36%
Draw 29%
Port Vale 35%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 36% | 2.77 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 51% | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.28 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.95 · Draw 3.40 · Away 3.30 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Blackpool
9.6
Expected corners
4.9
Port Vale
Blackpool corner stats · Port Vale corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.6 corners in this match, with Blackpool winning 4.7 of them.
- Across 57 recent matches, Blackpool games produced 10.51 corners on average — 4.67 taken by Blackpool themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Blackpool matches.
- Port Vale matches average 10.30 total corners (4.84 won per game) across their last 63 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Port Vale matches.
- Games involving Blackpool produce 2.72 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- Port Vale matches average 2.30 goals, with both teams scoring in 32% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 2.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 10.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (51%).
Blackpool — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Barrow | 0–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Tranmere | 0–2 | 10–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W AFC Fylde | 3–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Reading | 1–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Leyton Orient | 1–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Wycombe | 1–0 | 6–10 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Peterborough | 3–1 | 11–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Stevenage | 0–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | W Exeter | 1–0 | 5–10 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Burton Albion | 1–0 | 6–8 |
Port Vale — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Real Murcia | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Wigan | 3–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Lincoln City | 0–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-29 | A | W Stockport | 2–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Plymouth | 1–2 | 11–6 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | L Cardiff | 0–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D Wigan | 0–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-04-17 | A | W Peterborough | 3–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-04-15 | H | D Barnsley | 0–0 | 8–9 |
| 2026-04-08 | H | W Rotherham | 1–0 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Blackpool vs Port Vale?
- Our model gives Blackpool a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Port Vale 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Blackpool vs Port Vale?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.