Australia New South Wales Premier League
Blacktown City vs Sydney FC NPL Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.54 – 1.30
Avg goals2.84
Our pickHome
Blacktown City 42%
Draw 27%
Sydney FC NPL 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 42% | 2.40 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.71 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away +11% Value | 58% | 1.72 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 53% | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.78 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.85 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.6
Blacktown City
9.8
Expected corners
4.2
Sydney FC NPL
Blacktown City corner stats · Sydney FC NPL corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Blacktown City are forecast for 5.6.
- Blacktown City matches average 10.12 total corners (5.18 won per game) across their last 33 with corner data.
- Blacktown City games clear the 9.5 corner line 64% of the time.
- Sydney FC NPL win 4.10 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.90 over their last 30.
- Sydney FC NPL games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- Blacktown City matches average 2.85 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
- Games involving Sydney FC NPL produce 2.77 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 37%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 52% probability.
Blacktown City — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Wollongong Wolves | 2–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W St George City FA | 3–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W SD Raiders | 3–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | D Sydney United 58 | 0–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Marconi Stallions | 0–2 | 2–10 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L Apia L Tigers | 1–3 | 7–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W Sutherland Sharks | 2–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | L Rockdale Ilinden FC | 1–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D Manly Utd | 0–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-27 | H | L Sydney United 58 | 0–4 | 7–6 |
Sydney FC NPL — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D St George Saints | 0–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | D Manly Utd | 0–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Apia L Tigers | 1–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L University NSW | 2–3 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-30 | A | W SD Raiders | 1–0 | 4–9 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | W Sydney United 58 | 1–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Wollongong Wolves | 3–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-12 | A | D Marconi Stallions | 0–0 | 0–9 |
| 2026-06-05 | H | W NWS Spirit FC | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | L Western Sydney Wanderers NPL | 0–6 | 10–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Blacktown City vs Sydney FC NPL?
- Our model gives Blacktown City a 42% chance, the draw 27% and Sydney FC NPL 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Blacktown City vs Sydney FC NPL?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.