Norway Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.20 – 0.98
Avg goals3.17
Our pickHome
Bodo/Glimt 64%
Draw 21%
Lillestrom 15%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 64% | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 85% | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Under +20% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | -1.75 | Away +26% Value | 64% | 1.55 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Under | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +416% Value | 10% | 9.88 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.25 · Draw 6.50 · Away 9.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -1.75 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.4
Bodo/Glimt
10.3
Expected corners
2.8
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt corner stats · Lillestrom corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.3 corners in this match, with Bodo/Glimt winning 7.4 of them.
- Bodo/Glimt matches average 10.96 total corners (6.76 won per game) across their last 50 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 64% of Bodo/Glimt matches.
- Lillestrom win 5.46 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.07 over their last 46.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of Lillestrom matches.
- Games involving Bodo/Glimt produce 3.64 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
- Lillestrom matches average 3.72 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 12 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.50 (61%).
Bodo/Glimt — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Sandefjord | 3–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | W HamKam | 3–0 | 10–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Fredrikstad | 1–0 | 12–0 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W KFUM | 2–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W Molde | 4–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D Rosenborg | 2–2 | 6–0 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W SK Brann | 3–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | W IK Start | 4–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Tromso | 5–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D SK Brann | 2–2 | 8–3 |
Lillestrom — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | H | L Viking FK | 1–2 | 3–9 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W KFUM | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Fredrikstad | 2–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | W Sarpsborg | 3–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L Midtjylland | 0–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L HamKam | 0–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | L Kristiansund BK | 1–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Sandefjord | 3–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Rosenborg | 0–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Sarpsborg | 4–0 | 3–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom?
- Our model gives Bodo/Glimt a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Lillestrom 15%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.