Brazil Serie B
Botafogo SP vs America MG Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 00′ 0–0
Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–0
Shots off target0–0
Attacks1–0
Dangerous attacks1–0
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score
1-015%1-114%0-013%
Expected goals1.24 – 0.84
Avg goals2.08
Our pickHome
Botafogo SP 45%
Draw 30%
America MG 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.22 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 2 | Under | 52% | 1.91 | 2.05 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 59% | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 55% | 1.82 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 11 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +42% Value | 15% | 6.67 | 10.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.90 · Draw 3.20 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.75 · Under 2.05 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.2
Botafogo SP
11.1
Expected corners
4.9
America MG
Botafogo SP corner stats · America MG corner stats
Corner line 11.00
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- Our model projects 11.1 corners in this match, with Botafogo SP winning 6.2 of them.
- Botafogo SP win 5.70 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.48 over their last 46.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Botafogo SP matches.
- Across 56 recent matches, America MG games produced 9.45 corners on average — 5.11 taken by America MG themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of America MG matches.
- Games involving Botafogo SP produce 2.22 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
- America MG matches average 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 2.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 10.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.00 (52%).
Botafogo SP — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | L Fortaleza | 0–1 | 6–10 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W Juventude | 4–2 | 4–9 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Londrina | 0–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Sport Recife | 3–3 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-07 | H | W Avai | 3–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | L CRB | 0–1 | 11–6 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Ceara | 1–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-15 | H | W Operario PR | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-09 | A | L Vila Nova | 0–1 | 9–9 |
| 2026-06-02 | A | D Ponte Preta | 0–0 | 12–5 |
America MG — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | W Goias | 1–0 | 2–10 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | L Avai | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D Ceara | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | D Londrina | 1–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | L Cuiaba | 0–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Operario PR | 0–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-06-24 | H | L Criciuma | 0–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | W Fortaleza | 3–0 | 0–10 |
| 2026-06-09 | H | L Atletico GO | 1–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Juventude | 0–3 | 5–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Botafogo SP vs America MG?
- Our model gives Botafogo SP a 45% chance, the draw 30% and America MG 25%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Botafogo SP vs America MG?
- The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 11.00 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.