MathPredictions

Bulgaria First League

Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.46 – 0.99
Avg goals2.44
Our pickHome
Botev Plovdiv 47% Draw 29% Cherno More Varna 24%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 47% 2.14 1.80
Double chance Home or draw 76% 1.32 1.20
Goals 2.5 Under 56% 1.79 1.83
Both teams to score No 51% 1.97 1.83
Asian handicap -0.5 Away +6% Value 53% 1.88 2.00
Corners 9.5 Under 54% 1.87
Correct score 1-1 14% 7.29 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.80  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 4.33
Goals 2.5 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 Botev Plovdiv
9.2 Expected corners
4.1 Cherno More Varna
Corner line 9.50
Over 46% Under 54%

Match trends

Botev Plovdiv — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 A L CSKA Sofia 2–3 5–17
2026-07-21 H D Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1–1 6–1
2026-07-05 H W Spartak Varna 1–0 1–3
2026-06-28 H W KF Ballkani 2–0 2–1
2026-06-26 H W Arda Kardzhali 2–1 3–3
2026-05-25 A L Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–2 6–3
2026-05-17 H W Cherno More Varna 5–0 4–3
2026-05-13 H L Arda Kardzhali 1–2 6–1
2026-05-09 A L Cherno More Varna 0–2 3–4
2026-05-03 H L Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–2 4–1

Cherno More Varna — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H L Spartak Varna 0–3 9–1
2026-07-20 A D Botev Vratsa 1–1 4–5
2026-07-12 H D Dunav Ruse 1–1 11–3
2026-05-25 H L Arda Kardzhali 2–3 3–3
2026-05-17 A L Botev Plovdiv 0–5 3–4
2026-05-12 H W Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 2–5
2026-05-09 H W Botev Plovdiv 2–0 4–3
2026-05-03 A D Arda Kardzhali 0–0 1–8
2026-04-26 A W Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 5–1
2026-04-15 H L CSKA 1948 Sofia 0–4 2–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Our model gives Botev Plovdiv a 47% chance, the draw 29% and Cherno More Varna 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.