Bulgaria First League
Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-014%1-114%0-012%
Expected goals1.27 – 0.91
Avg goals2.17
Our pickHome
Botev Vratsa 44%
Draw 30%
Slavia Sofia 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 44% | 2.27 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 57% | 1.75 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 57% | 1.76 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 56% | 1.79 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 55% | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +39% Value | 14% | 7.19 | 10.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.95 · Draw 3.30 · Away 4.00 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.6
Botev Vratsa
9.9
Expected corners
4.3
Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa corner stats · Slavia Sofia corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 55%
Under 45%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.9 corners in this match, with Botev Vratsa winning 5.6 of them.
- Across 42 recent matches, Botev Vratsa games produced 8.74 corners on average — 3.43 taken by Botev Vratsa themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Botev Vratsa matches.
- Slavia Sofia matches average 11.20 total corners (4.78 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 68% of Slavia Sofia matches.
- Games involving Botev Vratsa produce 2.07 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
- Slavia Sofia matches average 2.48 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (57%).
Botev Vratsa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | A | L Ludogorets Razgrad | 1–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1–2 | 5–8 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | D Cherno More Varna | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | W Arda Kardzhali | 1–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | D Beitar Jerusalem | 2–2 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | D Levski Sofia | 1–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | W Beroe | 3–0 | 0–9 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | W Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich | 2–1 | 3–10 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Montana 1921 | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Septemvri Sofia | 1–1 | 3–4 |
Slavia Sofia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | D Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Arda Kardzhali | 0–1 | 1–10 |
| 2026-07-21 | H | D CSKA Sofia | 0–0 | 2–11 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Montana 1921 | 7–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | W Montana 1921 | 2–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | L Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 0–2 | 4–10 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | L Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich | 0–2 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Spartak Varna | 1–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | W Septemvri Sofia | 2–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Beroe | 0–3 | 6–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia?
- Our model gives Botev Vratsa a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Slavia Sofia 26%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia?
- The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.