Republic of Ireland First Division
Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.16 – 0.99
Avg goals3.15
Our pickHome
Bray Wanderers 63%
Draw 21%
Kerry FC 15%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 63% | 1.58 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 85% | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 56% | 1.78 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Home +6% Value | 59% | 1.71 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 55% | 1.83 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 9.93 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.65 · Draw 3.70 · Away 4.33 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.5
Bray Wanderers
9.1
Expected corners
3.6
Kerry FC
Bray Wanderers corner stats · Kerry FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 45%
Under 55%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Bray Wanderers winning 5.5 of them.
- Across 47 recent matches, Bray Wanderers games produced 9.43 corners on average — 4.66 taken by Bray Wanderers themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Bray Wanderers matches.
- Kerry FC matches average 8.07 total corners (3.41 won per game) across their last 44 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 25% of Kerry FC matches.
- Games involving Bray Wanderers produce 3.19 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 70%.
- Kerry FC matches average 2.84 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.8 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.5 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (56%).
Bray Wanderers — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Cobh Ramblers | 2–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Finn Harps | 1–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W UCD | 6–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Athlone Town | 1–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | W St Patrick's Athletic | 2–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Cork City | 0–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | W Longford Town | 5–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D Treaty United FC | 2–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Wexford FC | 4–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D Kerry FC | 2–2 | 6–1 |
Kerry FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Finn Harps | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D Shelbourne | 2–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Wexford FC | 2–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Treaty United FC | 1–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Longford Town | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W UCD | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Athlone Town | 1–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Cobh Ramblers | 0–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | D Bray Wanderers | 2–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Wexford FC | 2–1 | 3–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?
- Our model gives Bray Wanderers a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Kerry FC 15%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?
- The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.