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Australia NPL Queensland

Brisbane Roar NPL vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-2
Expected goals1.40 – 2.63
Avg goals4.02
Our pickAway
Brisbane Roar NPL 18% Draw 19% Moreton City Excelsior 63%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 63% 1.58 1.45
Double chance – Draw or away 82% 1.22 1.10
Goals 3.75 Over 52% 1.91 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 70% 1.42 1.40
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 52% 1.93 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 51% 1.95 –
Correct score – 1-2 9% 11.59 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.75  ·  Draw 4.50  ·  Away 1.45
Goals 3.75 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.3 Brisbane Roar NPL
9.6 Expected corners
6.3 Moreton City Excelsior

Brisbane Roar NPL corner stats · Moreton City Excelsior corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 51% Under 49%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.6 corners in this match, with Brisbane Roar NPL winning 3.3 of them.
  • Across 27 recent matches, Brisbane Roar NPL games produced 10.04 corners on average — 3.89 taken by Brisbane Roar NPL themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 63% of Brisbane Roar NPL matches.
  • Moreton City Excelsior matches average 9.18 total corners (5.61 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Moreton City Excelsior matches.
  • Games involving Brisbane Roar NPL produce 3.70 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 85%.
  • Moreton City Excelsior matches average 4.03 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
  • Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 4.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 12.7 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.75 (52%).

Brisbane Roar NPL — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 A L Brisbane Olympic FC 1–3 4–7
2026-07-10 H W Rochedale Rovers 4–1 6–7
2026-07-05 A D Brisbane City 1–1 6–1
2026-06-27 A L Peninsula Power 1–3 1–10
2026-06-20 A W Gold Coast United 4–1 3–7
2026-06-06 A L Magic United 1–2 5–8
2026-06-02 A L Wynnum Wolves 1–2 4–9
2026-05-24 H L Eastern Suburbs 1–3 4–1
2026-05-15 H L Lions FC 1–3 1–7
2026-05-10 A L Gold Coast Knights 2–3 2–9

Moreton City Excelsior — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H D Peninsula Power 2–2 3–7
2026-07-11 H W Magic United 4–3 4–1
2026-07-04 A L Gold Coast Knights 1–2 4–6
2026-06-28 A W Gold Coast United 1–0 4–4
2026-06-20 H D Wynnum Wolves 2–2 10–1
2026-06-16 A W Rochedale Rovers 5–2 10–1
2026-06-05 A D Eastern Suburbs 0–0 4–1
2026-05-22 H L Brisbane City 2–5 5–4
2026-05-16 H W Brisbane Olympic FC 4–3 8–1
2026-05-09 A L Lions FC 0–2 7–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Brisbane Roar NPL vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our model gives Brisbane Roar NPL a 18% chance, the draw 19% and Moreton City Excelsior 63%. The most likely score is 1-2.
How many corners are expected in Brisbane Roar NPL vs Moreton City Excelsior?
The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.