Australia Cup
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-113%0-110%1-29%
Expected goals1.19 – 1.43
Avg goals2.62
Our pickAway
Brisbane Roar 31%
Draw 27%
Sydney FC 42%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 42% | 2.37 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.29 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.76 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.00 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.25 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Brisbane Roar matches average 9.64 total corners (5.04 won per game) across their last 28 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of Brisbane Roar matches.
- Sydney FC win 4.53 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.06 over their last 34.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Sydney FC matches.
- Games involving Brisbane Roar produce 2.46 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- Sydney FC matches average 2.24 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (51%).
Brisbane Roar — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | W Sydney Olympic | 3–0 | 7–6 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W Caboolture FC | 3–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Perth Glory | 1–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Melbourne City | 2–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-10 | A | D Central Coast Mariners | 2–2 | 10–1 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | D Sydney FC | 0–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L Wellington Phoenix | 1–2 | 6–10 |
| 2026-03-13 | H | D Western Sydney Wanderers | 2–2 | 0–10 |
| 2026-02-28 | H | D Perth Glory | 1–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-02-21 | A | L Sydney FC | 0–1 | 5–4 |
Sydney FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | D Tottenham | 1–1 | 0–7 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | W Bayswater City | 5–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Auckland FC | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Newcastle Jets | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D Newcastle Jets | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Melbourne Victory | 1–0 | 6–10 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Auckland FC | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Perth Glory | 0–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Western Sydney Wanderers | 2–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-02 | A | D Brisbane Roar | 0–0 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?
- Our model gives Brisbane Roar a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Sydney FC 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.