Wales Championship North
Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.03 – 1.82
Avg goals3.84
Our pickHome
Buckley Town 43%
Draw 23%
Denbigh Town 35%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.34 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 77% | 1.29 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over +6% Value | 60% | 1.68 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home +9% Value | 55% | 1.81 | 2.03 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 55% | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 9% | 11.52 | 9.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.45 · Draw 3.90 · Away 2.20 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Buckley Town
9.9
Expected corners
5.2
Denbigh Town
Buckley Town corner stats · Denbigh Town corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 55%
Under 45%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.9 corners here; Buckley Town are forecast for 4.7.
- Buckley Town win 4.65 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.74 over their last 31.
- Buckley Town games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Across 31 recent matches, Denbigh Town games produced 9.03 corners on average — 4.61 taken by Denbigh Town themselves.
- Denbigh Town games clear the 9.5 corner line 39% of the time.
- Buckley Town matches average 4.35 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Games involving Denbigh Town produce 3.71 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 74%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.3 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 60% probability.
Buckley Town — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | A | L Llandudno | 0–6 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Holyhead Hotspur | 1–5 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-14 | A | L Caersws | 2–3 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | L Brickfield Rangers | 0–6 | 7–7 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | L Ruthin Town | 0–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | W Newtown | 2–0 | 7–8 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | L Denbigh Town | 1–4 | 11–3 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | L Penrhyncoch | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-02-28 | A | L Airbus UK | 0–3 | 2–4 |
| 2026-02-21 | H | L Holywell Town | 1–2 | 1–8 |
Denbigh Town — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Airbus UK | 0–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Colwyn Bay | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Caersws | 0–6 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-01 | H | D Holyhead Hotspur | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | L CPD Y Rhyl | 0–3 | 6–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Airbus UK | 3–2 | 10–8 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | W Buckley Town | 4–1 | 3–11 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | L Brickfield Rangers | 0–1 | 14–1 |
| 2026-02-28 | A | L Holywell Town | 1–5 | 2–8 |
| 2026-02-21 | A | L Llandudno | 0–4 | 5–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?
- Our model gives Buckley Town a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Denbigh Town 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?
- The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.