MathPredictions
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Europe Friendlies

Burgos vs Athletic Club Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals0.95 – 1.81
Avg goals2.76
Our pickAway
Burgos 18% Draw 25% Athletic Club 57%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 57% 1.77 1.53
Double chance – Draw or away 82% 1.23 1.07
Goals 2.5 Over 52% 1.92 –
Both teams to score – Yes 52% 1.91 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.36 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 5.75  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 1.53

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Burgos matches average 8.14 total corners (3.73 won per game) across their last 51 with corner data.
  • Burgos games clear the 9.5 corner line 31% of the time.
  • Athletic Club win 6.15 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.65 over their last 26.
  • Athletic Club games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
  • Burgos matches average 1.92 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
  • Games involving Athletic Club produce 3.23 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 52% probability.

Burgos — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A W Unionistas de Salamanca CF 1–0 4–2
2026-07-26 H D Athletic Bilbao B 1–1 4–2
2026-07-19 H W Real Sociedad B 2–0 3–1
2026-06-01 H W FC Andorra 1–0 2–2
2026-05-25 A W Cultural Leonesa 2–0 0–9
2026-05-17 A W Granada 1–0 5–3
2026-05-09 H D Almeria 0–0 7–3
2026-05-04 A D Real Sociedad B 0–0 2–2
2026-04-26 H D Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 7–3
2026-04-19 A L CD Castellon 1–3 1–7

Athletic Club — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A W Racing Santander 3–0 10–2
2026-07-26 H D Eibar 2–2 4–2
2026-07-23 A W Sestao River 2–0 12–1
2026-07-19 A W Leioa 11–0 4–1
2026-07-16 A W CD Derio 3–0 9–1
2026-05-24 A L Real Madrid 2–4 1–2
2026-05-18 H D Celta Vigo 1–1 5–0
2026-05-14 A L Espanyol 0–2 9–8
2026-05-10 H L Valencia 0–1 13–5
2026-05-03 A W CD Alaves 4–2 7–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Burgos vs Athletic Club?
Our model gives Burgos a 18% chance, the draw 25% and Athletic Club 57%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.