Europe Friendlies
Burnley vs Torino Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.37 – 1.23
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Burnley 39%
Draw 29%
Torino 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 39% | 2.57 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.26 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.30 · Draw 3.30 · Away 2.63 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Burnley win 4.08 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.67 over their last 48.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Burnley matches.
- Across 45 recent matches, Torino games produced 8.44 corners on average — 3.96 taken by Torino themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Torino matches.
- Games involving Burnley produce 3.04 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- Torino matches average 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Burnley — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | D Espanyol | 2–2 | 7–7 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Ajax | 1–2 | 6–9 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | L Real Salt Lake | 1–4 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L FC Cincinnati | 1–3 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | D Wolverhampton | 1–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | L Arsenal | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Aston Villa | 2–2 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Leeds | 1–3 | 0–5 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | L Man City | 0–1 | 3–11 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Nottm Forest | 1–4 | 4–4 |
Torino — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Cittadella | 0–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Alcione Milano | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | D Juventus | 2–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | L Cagliari | 1–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Sassuolo | 2–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Udinese | 0–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | D Inter Milan | 2–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D Cremonese | 0–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Verona | 2–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Pisa | 1–0 | 2–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Burnley vs Torino?
- Our model gives Burnley a 39% chance, the draw 29% and Torino 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.