Panama Liga Prom
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Aguilas de la U Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.43 – 1.37
Avg goals2.80
Our pickHome
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 37%
Draw 28%
Aguilas de la U 35%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 37% | 2.67 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.64 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.55 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.30 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
9.0
Expected corners
3.9
Aguilas de la U
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves corner stats · Aguilas de la U corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9 corners here; CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves are forecast for 5.1.
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves matches average 10.04 total corners (5.88 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
- Aguilas de la U win 4.40 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.88 over their last 25.
- Aguilas de la U games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves matches average 3.42 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.
- Games involving Aguilas de la U produce 2.72 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.3 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Udelas FC | 2–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D Udelas FC | 2–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Union Cocle Reserves | 1–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-10 | A | L SD Atletico Nacional | 3–4 | 8–6 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | W Rayados de Chiriqui | 3–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | D CD Universitario Reserves | 3–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-08 | H | D Bocas | 2–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-02-26 | A | W La Familia FC | 5–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-02-11 | A | D San Francisco Reserves | 1–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-02-08 | H | W Union Cocle Reserves | 2–0 | 7–5 |
Aguilas de la U — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Union Cocle Reserves | 1–1 | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D CD Universitario Reserves | 0–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-06 | A | D CD Universitario Reserves | 1–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D SD Atletico Nacional | 0–0 | 1–2 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | D Udelas FC | 2–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Union Cocle Reserves | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W San Francisco Reserves | 3–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | W Bocas | 4–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | W La Familia FC | 2–1 | 8–6 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | W Veraguas United Reserves | 4–1 | 6–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?
- Our model gives CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Aguilas de la U 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?
- The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.