Europe Friendlies
Caldas SC vs Academica Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.21 – 1.47
Avg goals2.67
Our pickAway
Caldas SC 30%
Draw 28%
Academica 42%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 42% | 2.39 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.95 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.44 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.00 · Draw 3.30 · Away 2.10 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 33 recent matches, Caldas SC games produced 9.70 corners on average — 4.85 taken by Caldas SC themselves.
- Caldas SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- Academica matches average 9.35 total corners (5.24 won per game) across their last 34 with corner data.
- Academica games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- Caldas SC matches average 2.18 goals, with both teams scoring in 42% of them.
- Games involving Academica produce 2.44 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 50% probability.
Caldas SC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | A | L SU 1 Dezembro | 1–2 | 0–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Sporting Covilha | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Atletico CP Lisbon | 0–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | W Amora | 2–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | D Lusitano GC Evora | 1–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | L Atletico CP Lisbon | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-07 | A | W Lusitano GC Evora | 1–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-03-01 | H | W Amora | 2–1 | 8–1 |
| 2026-02-23 | A | L Sporting Covilha | 0–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-02-16 | H | W SU 1 Dezembro | 2–1 | 9–1 |
Academica — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | D UD Santarem | 0–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Trofense | 3–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D CD Mafra | 3–3 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W Varzim | 1–0 | 2–1 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D UD Santarem | 1–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | W CF Os Belenenses | 2–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | D Amarante | 1–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | L Guimaraes B | 0–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | D Amarante | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-03-23 | A | W Trofense | 2–1 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Caldas SC vs Academica?
- Our model gives Caldas SC a 30% chance, the draw 28% and Academica 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.