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Mexico Liga de Expansion

Cancun FC vs Universidad Guadalajara Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.88 – 0.97
Avg goals2.85
Our pickHome
Cancun FC 58% Draw 24% Universidad Guadalajara 18%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +6% Value 58% 1.73 1.83
Double chance – Home or draw 82% 1.22 1.22
Goals 2.5 Over 54% 1.84 1.93
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.86 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Home +5% Value 58% 1.73 1.85
Corners 9.5 Over 66% 1.53 1.93
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.62 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.83  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 4.20
Goals 2.5 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 11 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.0 Cancun FC
10.9 Expected corners
4.9 Universidad Guadalajara

Cancun FC corner stats · Universidad Guadalajara corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 66% Under 35%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.9 corners in this match, with Cancun FC winning 6 of them.
  • Across 36 recent matches, Cancun FC games produced 10.81 corners on average — 4.53 taken by Cancun FC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of Cancun FC matches.
  • Universidad Guadalajara matches average 9.97 total corners (4.28 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Universidad Guadalajara matches.
  • Games involving Cancun FC produce 2.53 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
  • Universidad Guadalajara matches average 2.84 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.9 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.4 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (54%).

Cancun FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-05 H L Unam Pumas 0–3 2–4
2026-07-04 H W Toluca 1–0 2–5
2026-05-04 H D Jaiba Brava 1–1 13–3
2026-05-01 A L Jaiba Brava 1–2 0–5
2026-04-27 H W Tapatio 1–0 3–11
2026-04-24 A D Tapatio 1–1 2–7
2026-04-20 A W Universidad Guadalajara 2–1 2–7
2026-04-12 H W Atlante 2–1 2–6
2026-04-04 A W Correcaminos 3–1 0–5
2026-03-29 H D Tepatitlan de Morelos 2–2 4–4

Universidad Guadalajara — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W Tlaxcala FC 4–2 4–4
2026-04-20 H L Cancun FC 1–2 7–2
2026-04-12 A L Venados FC 1–2 3–8
2026-04-05 H W Atletico Morelia 2–0 5–6
2026-03-28 A D Oaxaca 1–1 4–8
2026-03-23 H L Mineros de Zacatecas 1–3 6–6
2026-03-15 A D Dorados 1–1 4–3
2026-03-05 A L Club Atletico La Paz 0–3 3–9
2026-03-02 H D Atlante 1–1 4–6
2026-02-16 H D Tepatitlan de Morelos 0–0 3–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Cancun FC vs Universidad Guadalajara?
Our model gives Cancun FC a 58% chance, the draw 24% and Universidad Guadalajara 18%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Cancun FC vs Universidad Guadalajara?
The corner model projects 10.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 66% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.