Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 vs Porto Foot Ball U20 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.55 – 0.63
Avg goals2.19
Our pickHome
Capivariano U20 59%
Draw 28%
Porto Foot Ball U20 14%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 59% | 1.71 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 86% | 1.16 | 1.07 |
| Goals | 3 | Under +34% Value | 78% | 1.28 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away +23% Value | 63% | 1.59 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 57% | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +211% Value | 16% | 6.12 | 19.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.40 · Draw 4.50 · Away 6.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
Capivariano U20
8.9
Expected corners
3.9
Porto Foot Ball U20
Capivariano U20 corner stats · Porto Foot Ball U20 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Capivariano U20 are forecast for 5.1.
- Capivariano U20 matches average 9.57 total corners (4.93 won per game) across their last 14 with corner data.
- Capivariano U20 games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
- Porto Foot Ball U20 win 3.58 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.83 over their last 12.
- Porto Foot Ball U20 games clear the 9.5 corner line 17% of the time.
- Capivariano U20 matches average 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Porto Foot Ball U20 produce 2.08 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 33%.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 78% probability.
Capivariano U20 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Referencia FC U20 | 2–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Palmeiras U20 | 2–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D Ituano U20 | 2–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | L Bragantino U20 | 1–3 | 3–9 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D XV de Jau U20 | 0–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Sfera FC U20 | 2–1 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D Audax SP U20 | 0–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-01-10 | H | D Rio Branco ES U20 | 3–3 | 9–7 |
| 2026-01-06 | A | D Flamengo SP U20 | 0–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-01-04 | A | D Vitoria U20 | 2–2 | 2–1 |
Porto Foot Ball U20 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Referencia FC U20 | 0–1 | 0–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Bragantino U20 | 1–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | L Agua Santa U20 | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L Palmeiras U20 | 0–1 | 0–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Audax SP U20 | 0–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Sfera FC U20 | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | D Tanabi U20 | 0–0 | 3–4 |
| 2025-09-28 | H | L SC Paulinense U20 | 1–2 | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-20 | A | L SC Paulinense U20 | 1–2 | 5–4 |
| 2025-08-30 | H | W Bandeirante EC U20 | 3–2 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Capivariano U20 vs Porto Foot Ball U20?
- Our model gives Capivariano U20 a 59% chance, the draw 28% and Porto Foot Ball U20 14%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Capivariano U20 vs Porto Foot Ball U20?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.