Chile Primera B
CD Antofagasta vs Union San Felipe Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals1.92 – 0.81
Avg goals2.73
Our pickHome
CD Antofagasta 63%
Draw 23%
Union San Felipe 14%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 63% | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +6% Value | 55% | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Home | 57% | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +212% Value | 12% | 8.33 | 26.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.60 · Draw 3.75 · Away 4.33 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.8
CD Antofagasta
9.9
Expected corners
4.2
Union San Felipe
CD Antofagasta corner stats · Union San Felipe corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 55%
Under 45%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.9 corners in this match, with CD Antofagasta winning 5.8 of them.
- CD Antofagasta win 4.83 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.92 over their last 36.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 64% of CD Antofagasta matches.
- Across 32 recent matches, Union San Felipe games produced 9.06 corners on average — 4.34 taken by Union San Felipe themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Union San Felipe matches.
- Games involving CD Antofagasta produce 2.53 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- Union San Felipe matches average 2.47 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- Across their previous 7 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 7 meetings with corner data averaged 12.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (55%).
CD Antofagasta — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | L Puerto Montt | 2–3 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | W Cobresal | 1–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | W La Serena | 4–2 | 1–8 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | W Cobresal | 1–0 | 5–9 |
| 2026-06-22 | H | W La Serena | 4–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-08 | H | D Magallanes | 0–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-06-02 | A | D Curico Unido | 0–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | D Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | D San Marcos De Arica | 1–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W San Luis Quillota | 3–1 | 4–6 |
Union San Felipe — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Santiago Wanderers | 0–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | D Union La Calera | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | L Universidad de Chile | 0–2 | 1–8 |
| 2026-06-09 | A | D Union Espanola | 2–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W Puerto Montt | 1–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Deportes Temuco | 0–5 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Rangers de Talca | 2–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | L Deportes Copiapo | 1–2 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | L San Luis Quillota | 0–4 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Magallanes | 0–1 | 9–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win CD Antofagasta vs Union San Felipe?
- Our model gives CD Antofagasta a 63% chance, the draw 23% and Union San Felipe 14%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in CD Antofagasta vs Union San Felipe?
- The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.