Peru Liga 1
CD Los Chankas vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.66 – 0.90
Avg goals2.55
Our pickHome
CD Los Chankas 54%
Draw 27%
Comerciantes Unidos 19%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 54% | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 81% | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.96 | 1.91 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Home | 54% | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9 | Under | 50% | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.86 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.85 · Draw 3.30 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.2
CD Los Chankas
9.0
Expected corners
3.7
Comerciantes Unidos
CD Los Chankas corner stats · Comerciantes Unidos corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9 corners in this match, with CD Los Chankas winning 5.2 of them.
- Across 38 recent matches, CD Los Chankas games produced 9.37 corners on average — 4.16 taken by CD Los Chankas themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of CD Los Chankas matches.
- Comerciantes Unidos matches average 8.40 total corners (3.37 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Comerciantes Unidos matches.
- Games involving CD Los Chankas produce 2.76 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- Comerciantes Unidos matches average 2.37 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- Across their previous 8 meetings, these sides averaged 3.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 8 meetings with corner data averaged 7.8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (53%).
CD Los Chankas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Alianza Atletico | 1–3 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | W Sport Boys | 1–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L Sport Huancayo | 1–3 | 2–9 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | W Santos FC | 3–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | W Ayacucho FC | 1–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | D UTC Cajamarca | 2–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Alianza Lima | 0–3 | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | W Deportivo Moquegua | 1–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | D Cusco FC | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-05 | H | L Deportivo Garcilaso | 0–1 | 6–4 |
Comerciantes Unidos — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | D Alianza Lima | 2–2 | 1–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Deportivo Moquegua | 2–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | D Juan Pablo II College | 0–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-12 | A | L Club Ada Jaen | 0–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Sport Boys | 0–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-26 | H | D Deportivo Garcilaso | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | L AD Tarma | 0–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | D FBC Melgar | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Cienciano | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Sporting Cristal | 1–0 | 3–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win CD Los Chankas vs Comerciantes Unidos?
- Our model gives CD Los Chankas a 54% chance, the draw 27% and Comerciantes Unidos 19%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in CD Los Chankas vs Comerciantes Unidos?
- The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.