Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.05 – 0.75
Avg goals2.81
Our pickHome
CD Olimpia 67%
Draw 22%
Lobos UPNFM 12%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 67% | 1.50 | 1.27 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 88% | 1.13 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 | 13% | 7.85 | 41.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.27 · Draw 5.00 · Away 8.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.6
CD Olimpia
10.6
Expected corners
4.0
Lobos UPNFM
CD Olimpia corner stats · Lobos UPNFM corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 62%
Under 38%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.6 corners here; CD Olimpia are forecast for 6.6.
- Across 54 recent matches, CD Olimpia games produced 10.13 corners on average — 5.33 taken by CD Olimpia themselves.
- CD Olimpia games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
- Lobos UPNFM matches average 9.53 total corners (4.87 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
- Lobos UPNFM games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- CD Olimpia matches average 2.65 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- Games involving Lobos UPNFM produce 2.83 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.
CD Olimpia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Deportivo Mixco | 2–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W Motagua | 1–0 | 2–12 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L CD Marathon | 0–1 | 11–5 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | W Real Espana | 3–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Real Espana | 1–3 | 8–5 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | W CD Marathon | 2–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W CD Platense | 4–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Real Espana | 2–3 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | W CD Marathon | 2–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | W Motagua | 1–0 | 4–11 |
Lobos UPNFM — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | H | L Genesis de Comayagua | 0–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | L CD Platense | 1–4 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L CD Victoria La Ceiba | 2–3 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | D CD Olimpia | 0–0 | 3–11 |
| 2026-03-12 | A | L Motagua | 0–2 | 7–6 |
| 2026-03-09 | H | W Juticalpa | 3–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-03-03 | A | W Genesis de Comayagua | 2–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-02-27 | H | W CD Platense | 1–0 | 10–9 |
| 2026-02-21 | A | L Real Espana | 3–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-02-13 | H | D CD Victoria La Ceiba | 2–2 | 10–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM?
- Our model gives CD Olimpia a 67% chance, the draw 22% and Lobos UPNFM 12%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM?
- The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 62% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.