Colombia Primera B
CD Real Santander vs Patriotas FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals0.98 – 1.43
Avg goals2.40
Our pickAway
CD Real Santander 25%
Draw 29%
Patriotas FC 46%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 46% | 2.16 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Away | 54% | 1.85 | 2.03 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.22 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.40 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.0
CD Real Santander
8.4
Expected corners
4.4
Patriotas FC
CD Real Santander corner stats · Patriotas FC corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.4 corners here; CD Real Santander are forecast for 4.
- CD Real Santander matches average 9.58 total corners (4.36 won per game) across their last 33 with corner data.
- CD Real Santander games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Patriotas FC win 5.12 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.72 over their last 43.
- Patriotas FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 37% of the time.
- CD Real Santander matches average 2.48 goals, with both teams scoring in 42% of them.
- Games involving Patriotas FC produce 2.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
- The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.6 across their last 9 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 50% probability.
CD Real Santander — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Real Cartagena | 1–5 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | L Deportivo Cali | 1–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Alianza | 0–3 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | L Boca Juniors De Cali | 0–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | L Atletico Bucaramanga | 0–5 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L Bogota FC | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | L Itagui Leones | 0–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-08 | A | L Barranquilla FC | 0–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-01 | H | L Envigado FC | 1–3 | 5–1 |
| 2026-03-27 | A | L Union Magdalena | 0–2 | 5–3 |
Patriotas FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | W Internacional FC de Palmira | 3–1 | 10–2 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | L Llaneros | 1–3 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Millonarios | 2–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | D Atletico Cali FC | 1–1 | 2–0 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | D Boyaca Chico | 0–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Envigado FC | 0–2 | 11–2 |
| 2026-04-14 | H | W Real Cartagena | 1–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | W Itagui Leones | 1–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-03-27 | A | L Independiente Yumbo | 1–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | D Boca Juniors De Cali | 3–3 | 8–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win CD Real Santander vs Patriotas FC?
- Our model gives CD Real Santander a 25% chance, the draw 29% and Patriotas FC 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in CD Real Santander vs Patriotas FC?
- The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.