Nicaragua Apertura
CD Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.45 – 1.29
Avg goals2.74
Our pickHome
CD Walter Ferretti 40%
Draw 28%
Matagalpa FC 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 40% | 2.53 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away +6% Value | 54% | 1.85 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.52 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.00 · Draw 3.40 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.2
CD Walter Ferretti
8.5
Expected corners
3.3
Matagalpa FC
CD Walter Ferretti corner stats · Matagalpa FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 39%
Under 61%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.5 corners in this match, with CD Walter Ferretti winning 5.2 of them.
- CD Walter Ferretti matches average 7.73 total corners (4.10 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of CD Walter Ferretti matches.
- Matagalpa FC win 4.06 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.29 over their last 31.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Matagalpa FC matches.
- Games involving CD Walter Ferretti produce 2.50 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 40%.
- Matagalpa FC matches average 2.97 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 8.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (52%).
CD Walter Ferretti — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | H | L Diriangen | 1–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Jalapa | 0–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | L Jalapa | 0–3 | 1–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Matagalpa FC | 0–4 | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | D Managua FC | 1–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-10 | H | D Rancho Santana FC | 0–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-03-08 | H | L Diriangen | 2–5 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-05 | H | W HYH Export Sebaco FC | 3–1 | 1–2 |
| 2026-03-02 | A | L Real Madriz FC | 0–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-02-27 | H | W UNAN Managua | 2–0 | 1–4 |
Matagalpa FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Real Esteli | 0–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0–3 | 11–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Jalapa | 3–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | L Diriangen | 1–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | W Managua FC | 4–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W CD Walter Ferretti | 4–0 | 0–3 |
| 2026-04-16 | H | L Managua FC | 1–2 | 0–0 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | D Jalapa | 1–1 | 1–10 |
| 2026-04-09 | H | L Diriangen | 2–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | L UNAN Managua | 1–2 | 12–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win CD Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa FC?
- Our model gives CD Walter Ferretti a 40% chance, the draw 28% and Matagalpa FC 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in CD Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa FC?
- The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 39% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.