Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.26 – 1.29
Avg goals2.54
Our pickAway
Cerrito 35%
Draw 29%
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 36% | 2.78 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over +6% Value | 54% | 1.86 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away | 51% | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.15 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.45 · Draw 3.10 · Away 2.55 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
Cerrito
10.7
Expected corners
5.7
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Cerrito corner stats · Atletico Fenix Montevideo corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 64%
Under 36%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.7 corners in this match, with Cerrito winning 5 of them.
- Across 28 recent matches, Cerrito games produced 9.71 corners on average — 4.43 taken by Cerrito themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Cerrito matches.
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo matches average 10.75 total corners (5.88 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 63% of Atletico Fenix Montevideo matches.
- Games involving Cerrito produce 2.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo matches average 2.56 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Across their previous 7 meetings, these sides averaged 4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 7 meetings with corner data averaged 9.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.25 (54%).
Cerrito — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Rentistas | 0–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | W Miramar Misiones | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | D Tacuarembo | 0–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | W Plaza Colonia | 1–0 | 8–8 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L La Luz | 0–2 | 8–1 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | L CA River Plate | 4–6 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-08 | H | W CA Atenas | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Paysandu FC | 1–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W Huracan FC | 2–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Uruguay Montevideo | 2–2 | 5–7 |
Atletico Fenix Montevideo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W CA Atenas | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-14 | A | L Paysandu FC | 0–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | W Huracan FC | 2–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Uruguay Montevideo | 2–3 | 9–10 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | D Club Oriental | 2–2 | 8–5 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | D Colon FC | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W CA River Plate | 3–1 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | D Rentistas | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | D Miramar Misiones | 1–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Tacuarembo | 1–2 | 5–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
- Our model gives Cerrito a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Atletico Fenix Montevideo 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
- The corner model projects 10.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 64% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.