MathPredictions

Uruguay Segunda

Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.26 – 1.29
Avg goals2.54
Our pickAway
Cerrito 35% Draw 29% Atletico Fenix Montevideo 36%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 36% 2.78 2.55
Double chance Home or away 71% 1.41 1.25
Goals 2.25 Over +6% Value 54% 1.86 1.98
Both teams to score Yes 53% 1.89
Asian handicap 0 Away 51% 1.96 1.95
Corners 9.5 Over 64% 1.56
Correct score 1-1 14% 7.15 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.45  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 2.55
Goals 2.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.0 Cerrito
10.7 Expected corners
5.7 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Corner line 9.50
Over 64% Under 36%

Match trends

Cerrito — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 A D Rentistas 0–0 6–4
2026-07-13 H W Miramar Misiones 1–0 4–4
2026-07-06 A D Tacuarembo 0–0 4–1
2026-06-29 H W Plaza Colonia 1–0 8–8
2026-06-21 A L La Luz 0–2 8–1
2026-06-14 A L CA River Plate 4–6 7–4
2026-06-08 H W CA Atenas 2–1 6–2
2026-05-31 A W Paysandu FC 1–0 5–8
2026-05-25 H W Huracan FC 2–0 2–2
2026-05-16 A D Uruguay Montevideo 2–2 5–7

Atletico Fenix Montevideo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W CA Atenas 1–0 6–3
2026-07-14 A L Paysandu FC 0–1 6–5
2026-07-06 H W Huracan FC 2–0 3–3
2026-06-28 A L Uruguay Montevideo 2–3 9–10
2026-06-21 H D Club Oriental 2–2 8–5
2026-06-14 A D Colon FC 1–1 6–3
2026-06-06 H W CA River Plate 3–1 3–9
2026-05-31 H D Rentistas 1–1 5–6
2026-05-26 A D Miramar Misiones 1–1 7–2
2026-05-18 H L Tacuarembo 1–2 5–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
Our model gives Cerrito a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Atletico Fenix Montevideo 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
The corner model projects 10.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 64% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.