Paraguay Division Profesional
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.76 – 0.85
Avg goals2.61
Our pickHome
Cerro Porteno 58%
Draw 25%
Sportivo Luqueno 17%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 58% | 1.72 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 83% | 1.20 | 1.09 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over | 56% | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 52% | 1.94 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away | 55% | 1.80 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over +14% Value | 57% | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.29 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 3.60 · Away 5.50 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.4
Cerro Porteno
9.1
Expected corners
3.7
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno corner stats · Sportivo Luqueno corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 57%
Under 43%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Cerro Porteno winning 5.4 of them.
- Across 54 recent matches, Cerro Porteno games produced 8.63 corners on average — 4.69 taken by Cerro Porteno themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 31% of Cerro Porteno matches.
- Sportivo Luqueno matches average 9.32 total corners (4.34 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Sportivo Luqueno matches.
- Games involving Cerro Porteno produce 2.15 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 37%.
- Sportivo Luqueno matches average 2.85 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.8 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.5 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.25 (56%).
Cerro Porteno — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | L 2 de Mayo | 1–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Sportivo Trinidense | 1–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | W Sporting Cristal | 2–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W Rubio Nu | 2–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | W Palmeiras | 1–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Sportivo Trinidense | 1–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | D Guarani Asuncion | 0–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | W Junior | 1–0 | 2–10 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Deportivo Recoleta | 1–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | D Palmeiras | 1–1 | 3–5 |
Sportivo Luqueno — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | L Sportivo Trinidense | 1–4 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-27 | A | W Guarani Asuncion | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Olimpia Asuncion | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | D Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | L Libertad Asuncion | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Rubio Nu | 0–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Sportivo Trinidense | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Guarani Asuncion | 1–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Deportivo Recoleta | 2–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Sportivo Ameliano | 2–2 | 4–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
- Our model gives Cerro Porteno a 58% chance, the draw 25% and Sportivo Luqueno 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
- The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.