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Europe Friendlies

Cesena vs FC Fossombrone Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 3-0
Expected goals3.36 – 0.91
Avg goals4.27
Our pickHome
Cesena 83% Draw 11% FC Fossombrone 6%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 83% 1.21 1.14
Double chance – Home or draw 94% 1.06 0.99
Goals 4 Over 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.72 –
Asian handicap -2.75 Away +10% Value 58% 1.71 1.90
Correct score – 3-0 +1233% Value 9% 11.33 151.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.14  ·  Draw 7.50  ·  Away 15.00
Goals 4 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -2.75 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 8.5 Over 1.88  ·  Under 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 41 recent matches, Cesena games produced 9.05 corners on average — 4.71 taken by Cesena themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Cesena matches.
  • FC Fossombrone matches average 7.93 total corners (3.57 won per game) across their last 14 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 21% of FC Fossombrone matches.
  • Games involving Cesena produce 2.56 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
  • FC Fossombrone matches average 1.64 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 4.00 (53%).

Cesena — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W AC Carpi 1–0 0–2
2026-05-09 H L Padova 3–4 11–3
2026-05-01 A D Carrarese 0–0 4–10
2026-04-26 H D Sampdoria 0–0 4–5
2026-04-18 A L Palermo 0–2 6–6
2026-04-11 A L Juve Stabia 0–2 2–6
2026-04-06 H D Sudtirol 1–1 4–6
2026-03-21 H W Catanzaro 3–1 7–5
2026-03-18 A L Mantova 0–3 3–5
2026-03-14 H D Frosinone 2–2 1–5

FC Fossombrone — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-19 A D ASD Atletico Ascoli 1–1 2–10
2026-04-02 A L AC San Marino Calcio 0–3 7–2
2026-03-01 A D San Nicolo Notaresco 1–1 8–3
2026-02-15 A L Teramo 1–2 3–8
2026-02-08 A D Vigor Senigallia 0–0 1–5
2026-01-25 A L Giulianova Calcio 1924 0–3 5–4
2025-12-21 H W Recanatese 1–0 3–4
2025-11-30 A W U.S. Ancona 2–1 1–8
2025-11-02 A W Sammaurese 1–0 4–2
2025-10-26 H L San Nicolo Notaresco 0–1 2–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Cesena vs FC Fossombrone?
Our model gives Cesena a 83% chance, the draw 11% and FC Fossombrone 6%. The most likely score is 3-0.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.