China Division 1
Changchun Yatai vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.31 – 0.95
Avg goals2.26
Our pickHome
Changchun Yatai 44%
Draw 31%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 44% | 2.29 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under +11% Value | 61% | 1.65 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 54% | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away +13% Value | 56% | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.00 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.75 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.80 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Changchun Yatai
7.7
Expected corners
3.0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Changchun Yatai corner stats · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 29%
Under 71%
Match trends
- Our model projects 7.7 corners in this match, with Changchun Yatai winning 4.6 of them.
- Changchun Yatai win 4.39 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.86 over their last 28.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Changchun Yatai matches.
- Across 30 recent matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC games produced 7.83 corners on average — 3.30 taken by Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC matches.
- Games involving Changchun Yatai produce 2.93 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC matches average 1.70 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (61%).
Changchun Yatai — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Nanjing City | 2–1 | 4–10 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | L Wuxi Wugo | 1–5 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W Meizhou Hakka | 3–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Guangxi Hengchen | 1–2 | 7–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Dalian K'un City | 2–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D Yanbian Longding | 2–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Shenzhen Juniors | 0–4 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 1–1 | 10–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W Dingnan Ganilan FC | 3–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Ningbo Professional FC | 1–3 | 2–0 |
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Nantong Zhiyun | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | D Yanbian Longding | 0–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Guangdong GZ-Power | 0–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Ningbo Professional FC | 1–2 | 0–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Nanjing City | 2–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L Shanghai Shenhua | 0–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | D Suzhou Dongwu | 1–1 | 4–0 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D Dalian K'un City | 0–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Meizhou Hakka | 0–1 | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D Guizhou Xufengtang | 0–0 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Changchun Yatai vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?
- Our model gives Changchun Yatai a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Changchun Yatai vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?
- The corner model projects 7.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 29% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.