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Europe Friendlies

Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.25 – 1.35
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Charleroi 33% Draw 29% Rayo Vallecano 38%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 38% 2.64 2.30
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.24
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 –
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.85 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.25 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.70  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 2.30

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Charleroi win 5.60 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.44 over their last 48.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of Charleroi matches.
  • Across 61 recent matches, Rayo Vallecano games produced 10.62 corners on average — 5.82 taken by Rayo Vallecano themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 66% of Rayo Vallecano matches.
  • Games involving Charleroi produce 2.46 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
  • Rayo Vallecano matches average 2.51 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).

Charleroi — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A D Lens 2–2 3–3
2026-07-17 A L Feyenoord 1–3 3–2
2026-05-24 A W Standard Liege 2–0 9–6
2026-05-20 H D OH Leuven 1–1 14–6
2026-05-16 H L Westerlo 0–1 8–5
2026-05-10 A W Antwerp 1–0 3–4
2026-05-03 H W Genk 2–0 3–6
2026-04-25 A W OH Leuven 2–0 6–4
2026-04-22 A D Genk 1–1 1–10
2026-04-19 H L Standard Liege 1–2 6–4

Rayo Vallecano — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A D Feyenoord 1–1 5–5
2026-07-18 A L Hearts 1–2 3–8
2026-05-28 A L Crystal Palace 0–1 1–4
2026-05-24 A W CD Alaves 2–1 5–10
2026-05-18 H W Villarreal 2–0 1–9
2026-05-15 A D Valencia 1–1 1–5
2026-05-12 H D Girona 1–1 9–5
2026-05-08 A W Strasbourg 1–0 6–5
2026-05-03 A W Getafe 2–0 1–4
2026-05-01 H W Strasbourg 1–0 5–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our model gives Charleroi a 33% chance, the draw 29% and Rayo Vallecano 38%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.