MathPredictions
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Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women

Charlestown Azzurri (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.30 – 1.81
Avg goals3.11
Our pickAway
Charlestown Azzurri (W) 27% Draw 25% Lake Macquarie (W) 48%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 48% 2.07 1.53
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.12
Goals 3.5 Under +18% Value 62% 1.61 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 62% 1.61 –
Asian handicap 1 Home +25% Value 66% 1.53 2.00
Corners 9.5 Under 58% 1.74 –
Correct score – 1-1 +27% Value 12% 8.67 11.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.10  ·  Draw 4.50  ·  Away 1.53
Goals 3.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 1 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.3 Charlestown Azzurri (W)
8.7 Expected corners
5.5 Lake Macquarie (W)

Charlestown Azzurri (W) corner stats · Lake Macquarie (W) corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 42% Under 58%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.7 corners here; Charlestown Azzurri (W) are forecast for 3.3.
  • Charlestown Azzurri (W) matches average 9.00 total corners (4.19 won per game) across their last 16 with corner data.
  • Charlestown Azzurri (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • Lake Macquarie (W) win 5.63 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.31 over their last 16.
  • Lake Macquarie (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 31% of the time.
  • Charlestown Azzurri (W) matches average 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.
  • Games involving Lake Macquarie (W) produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
  • The model leans Under 3.50 goals at 62% probability.

Charlestown Azzurri (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A W Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 5–1 6–1
2026-07-25 H L Adamstown Rosebud (W) 2–8 4–1
2026-06-20 H L New Lambton FC (W) 0–3 2–7
2026-06-13 H D Broadmeadow Magic (W) 0–0 8–8
2026-06-10 A W Lake Macquarie (W) 2–0 5–6
2026-05-16 H D Adamstown Rosebud (W) 2–2 2–2
2026-04-24 A L Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 0–3 4–6
2026-04-17 A D New Lambton FC (W) 2–2 2–9
2026-04-10 A L Broadmeadow Magic (W) 0–6 5–7
2026-03-22 H W Lake Macquarie (W) 3–0 1–8

Lake Macquarie (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Maitland FC (W) 1–3 2–4
2026-07-17 A D Broadmeadow Magic (W) 0–0 6–1
2026-06-28 A W Adamstown Rosebud (W) 1–0 10–0
2026-06-21 H W Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 2–1 6–0
2026-06-10 H L Charlestown Azzurri (W) 0–2 6–5
2026-06-02 H L New Lambton FC (W) 1–3 8–7
2026-05-17 A D Maitland FC (W) 1–1 5–3
2026-05-10 H W Broadmeadow Magic (W) 5–1 7–2
2026-04-26 H W Adamstown Rosebud (W) 2–1 6–6
2026-04-19 A D Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 1–1 9–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Charlestown Azzurri (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W)?
Our model gives Charlestown Azzurri (W) a 27% chance, the draw 25% and Lake Macquarie (W) 48%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Charlestown Azzurri (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W)?
The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.