MathPredictions
▾

USA USL League One

Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph SC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 20′ 0–0

Corners1–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–1
Shots off target3–1
Attacks25–15
Dangerous attacks16–7
Possession69%–31%
Predicted score 2-110%2-09%1-19%
Expected goals2.33 – 1.07
Avg goals3.40
Our pickHome
Charlotte Independence 65% Draw 19% Greenville Triumph SC 16%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 65% 1.54 1.65
Double chance – Home or draw 84% 1.19 1.18
Goals 2.5 Over 66% 1.52 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 60% 1.68 –
Corners 9.5 Over 52% 1.94 1.95
Correct score – 2-1 10% 10.31 15.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.65  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 3.80
Goals 3.25 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Corners 9.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.9 Charlotte Independence
9.6 Expected corners
4.8 Greenville Triumph SC

Charlotte Independence corner stats · Greenville Triumph SC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.6 corners in this match, with Charlotte Independence winning 4.9 of them.
  • Charlotte Independence win 5.11 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.61 over their last 38.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 66% of Charlotte Independence matches.
  • Across 36 recent matches, Greenville Triumph SC games produced 9.19 corners on average — 4.47 taken by Greenville Triumph SC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Greenville Triumph SC matches.
  • Games involving Charlotte Independence produce 3.61 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 68%.
  • Greenville Triumph SC matches average 2.89 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.2 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (66%).

Charlotte Independence — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H W One Knoxville SC 3–1 5–5
2026-07-26 H W Richmond Kickers 3–1 6–9
2026-07-23 A L Spokane Velocity FC 0–3 4–2
2026-07-19 H L Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–4 5–5
2026-07-12 A D Charleston Battery 2–2 1–8
2026-07-06 A D Antelope Valley Alta 1–1 1–7
2026-07-02 H W Corpus Christi FC 2–1 8–4
2026-06-25 H W Greenville Triumph SC 1–0 6–5
2026-06-14 H W FC Naples 4–3 6–6
2026-06-11 H W Union Omaha 2–0 7–3

Greenville Triumph SC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H D Portland Hearts of Pine 3–3 11–3
2026-07-30 H W AC Boise 3–2 5–6
2026-07-26 A L Corpus Christi FC 0–1 7–2
2026-07-19 A L Fort Wayne FC 0–3 7–1
2026-07-12 H L Richmond Kickers 1–2 9–5
2026-07-09 H D Sarasota Paradise 0–0 2–3
2026-07-05 A W New York Cosmos 3–0 2–12
2026-06-25 A L Charlotte Independence 0–1 5–6
2026-06-21 H L Antelope Valley Alta 1–2 1–2
2026-06-15 A L Westchester SC 0–4 9–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph SC?
Our model gives Charlotte Independence a 65% chance, the draw 19% and Greenville Triumph SC 16%. The most likely score is 2-1.
How many corners are expected in Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph SC?
The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.