MathPredictions
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USA USL League One

Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville SC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.73 – 1.48
Avg goals3.21
Our pickHome
Charlotte Independence 43% Draw 25% One Knoxville SC 32%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 43% 2.34 2.50
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.25
Goals 2.75 Over 58% 1.74 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 65% 1.55 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 51% 1.96 1.93
Corners 9.5 Over 70% 1.44 1.95
Correct score – 1-1 11% 8.80 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.50  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 2.50
Goals 2.75 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93
Corners 10 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.3 Charlotte Independence
11.3 Expected corners
5.0 One Knoxville SC

Charlotte Independence corner stats · One Knoxville SC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 70% Under 30%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 11.3 corners here; Charlotte Independence are forecast for 6.3.
  • Across 38 recent matches, Charlotte Independence games produced 10.66 corners on average — 5.11 taken by Charlotte Independence themselves.
  • Charlotte Independence games clear the 9.5 corner line 66% of the time.
  • One Knoxville SC matches average 10.77 total corners (4.59 won per game) across their last 44 with corner data.
  • One Knoxville SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 66% of the time.
  • Charlotte Independence matches average 3.66 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
  • Games involving One Knoxville SC produce 2.48 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 11.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 58% probability.

Charlotte Independence — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Richmond Kickers 3–1 6–9
2026-07-23 A L Spokane Velocity FC 0–3 4–2
2026-07-19 H L Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–4 5–5
2026-07-12 A D Charleston Battery 2–2 1–8
2026-07-06 A D Antelope Valley Alta 1–1 1–7
2026-07-02 H W Corpus Christi FC 2–1 8–4
2026-06-25 H W Greenville Triumph SC 1–0 6–5
2026-06-14 H W FC Naples 4–3 6–6
2026-06-11 H W Union Omaha 2–0 7–3
2026-06-04 A W FC Naples 5–1 5–8

One Knoxville SC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Chattanooga Red Wolves 0–1 4–6
2026-07-19 H L Antelope Valley Alta 2–3 8–5
2026-07-16 H W Fort Wayne FC 2–1 9–6
2026-07-12 A D Corpus Christi FC 1–1 2–6
2026-07-03 A W AC Boise 2–1 3–10
2026-06-21 A W Spokane Velocity FC 4–0 4–10
2026-06-14 H W New York Cosmos 3–1 5–7
2026-06-11 H D Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–1 3–9
2026-05-30 H W Greenville Triumph SC 2–0 8–5
2026-05-24 A D Corpus Christi FC 2–2 2–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville SC?
Our model gives Charlotte Independence a 43% chance, the draw 25% and One Knoxville SC 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville SC?
The corner model projects 11.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 70% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.