Poland III Liga
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Kluczevia Stargard Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.45 – 1.69
Avg goals3.14
Our pickAway
Chemik Bydgoszcz 32%
Draw 26%
Kluczevia Stargard 42%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 42% | 2.37 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home | 52% | 1.94 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.55 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.80 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.10 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Kluczevia Stargard win 4.53 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.70 over their last 30.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Kluczevia Stargard matches.
- Games involving Kluczevia Stargard produce 2.97 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 51% probability.
Chemik Bydgoszcz — last 4 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Stomil Olsztyn | 3–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | W Orleta Aleksandrow Kujawski | 2–0 | 5–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | H | D Mustang Ostaszewo | 0–0 | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-21 | H | W Lokietek Brzesc Kujawski | 3–1 | 15–1 |
Kluczevia Stargard — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Warta Gorzow | 3–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Polonia Sroda Wlkp | 1–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Victoria Wrzesnia | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | L Lipno Steszew | 0–3 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Pogon Szczecin II | 1–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W Cartusia Kartuzy | 2–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Elana Torun | 1–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Notec Czarnkow | 3–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Tluchowia Tluchowo | 3–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | L Flota Swinoujscie | 2–3 | 1–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Kluczevia Stargard?
- Our model gives Chemik Bydgoszcz a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Kluczevia Stargard 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.