MathPredictions
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Bulgaria Second League

Chernomorets Burgas vs Beroe Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.37 – 0.96
Avg goals2.33
Our pickHome
Chernomorets Burgas 45% Draw 30% Beroe 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 45% 2.23 2.00
Double chance – Home or draw 75% 1.34 1.24
Goals 2.25 Under 52% 1.91 1.80
Both teams to score – No 53% 1.90 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 53% 1.90 1.78
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.09 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.00  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 3.25
Goals 2.25 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Chernomorets Burgas matches average 8.93 total corners (4.81 won per game) across their last 27 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 26% of Chernomorets Burgas matches.
  • Beroe win 3.95 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.78 over their last 37.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 62% of Beroe matches.
  • Games involving Chernomorets Burgas produce 2.15 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
  • Beroe matches average 2.30 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (52%).

Chernomorets Burgas — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A D Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1–1 2–5
2026-04-16 H D Ludogorets Razgrad II 0–0 12–0
2026-04-09 H W Pirin Blagoevgrad 2–0 15–2
2026-04-04 A L Belasitza Petrich 0–1 18–2
2026-03-29 H D Dunav Ruse 1–1 3–4
2026-03-21 A W Vihren Sandanski 2–0 3–3
2026-03-15 H W CSKA Sofia II 3–0 3–4
2026-03-07 A W Spartak Pleven 2–1 2–6
2026-02-28 H D Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 0–0 4–5
2026-02-15 H D Minyor Pernik 1–1 2–3

Beroe — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 H W FC Hebar Pazardzhik 2–1 2–6
2026-05-22 A L Botev Vratsa 0–3 9–0
2026-05-19 H L Septemvri Sofia 0–1 5–2
2026-05-15 A D Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1–1 0–8
2026-05-11 A W Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich 1–0 0–14
2026-05-05 H D Montana 1921 2–2 5–4
2026-05-02 H W Slavia Sofia 3–0 6–6
2026-04-25 A W Spartak Varna 2–1 9–3
2026-04-14 H D Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–0 4–7
2026-04-09 A L Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1–2 3–10

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Chernomorets Burgas vs Beroe?
Our model gives Chernomorets Burgas a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Beroe 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.