Ukraine Vyscha Liga
Chernomorets Odessa vs Polissya Zhytomyr Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-1
Expected goals0.74 – 1.30
Avg goals2.04
Our pickAway
Chernomorets Odessa 20%
Draw 31%
Polissya Zhytomyr 49%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 49% | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 80% | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Correct score | – | 0-1 | 16% | 6.42 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 7.00 · Draw 4.00 · Away 1.38 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.3
Chernomorets Odessa
9.1
Expected corners
5.8
Polissya Zhytomyr
Chernomorets Odessa corner stats · Polissya Zhytomyr corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 45%
Under 55%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.1 corners here; Chernomorets Odessa are forecast for 3.3.
- Chernomorets Odessa matches average 9.26 total corners (4.79 won per game) across their last 19 with corner data.
- Chernomorets Odessa games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- Polissya Zhytomyr win 5.33 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.96 over their last 45.
- Polissya Zhytomyr games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
- Chernomorets Odessa matches average 1.47 goals, with both teams scoring in 32% of them.
- Games involving Polissya Zhytomyr produce 2.89 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 38%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 66% probability.
Chernomorets Odessa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | H | D FC Livyi Bereh | 0–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W FC Probiy Horodenka | 1–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-08 | H | W Ingulets Petrovo | 2–0 | 4–10 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | W Metalurh Zaporizhya | 1–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | D FSC Mariupol | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W UCSA | 1–0 | 6–7 |
| 2025-11-16 | A | W Nyva Ternopil | 1–0 | 5–3 |
| 2025-11-08 | A | D FC Metalist Kharkiv | 1–1 | 6–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | H | L Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2025-10-26 | A | D FC Livyi Bereh | 1–1 | 0–7 |
Polissya Zhytomyr — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | L FC Copenhagen | 1–2 | 14–2 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | D FC Copenhagen | 3–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | L Shimizu S-Pulse | 1–3 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W WSG Swarovski Tirol | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | W Worgl SV | 11–0 | 4–0 |
| 2026-07-02 | H | W Sabah | 4–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | W CSKA Sofia | 4–0 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W FC Rukh Lviv | 2–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | D Zorya | 0–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | L Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 2–3 | 8–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Chernomorets Odessa vs Polissya Zhytomyr?
- Our model gives Chernomorets Odessa a 20% chance, the draw 31% and Polissya Zhytomyr 49%. The most likely score is 0-1.
- How many corners are expected in Chernomorets Odessa vs Polissya Zhytomyr?
- The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.