MathPredictions
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UK Friendlies

Chester vs Crewe Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.20 – 1.70
Avg goals2.90
Our pickAway
Chester 26% Draw 26% Crewe 48%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 48% 2.08 1.67
Double chance – Draw or away 74% 1.35 1.18
Goals 3 Under +7% Value 57% 1.74 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.72 –
Asian handicap 0.75 Home +10% Value 58% 1.72 1.90
Corners 9.5 Under 66% 1.51 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.10 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.75  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 1.67
Goals 3 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.9 Chester
8.1 Expected corners
4.2 Crewe

Chester corner stats · Crewe corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 34% Under 66%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.1 corners here; Chester are forecast for 3.9.
  • Across 56 recent matches, Chester games produced 9.32 corners on average — 4.86 taken by Chester themselves.
  • Chester games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
  • Crewe matches average 9.05 total corners (4.64 won per game) across their last 56 with corner data.
  • Crewe games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
  • Chester matches average 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
  • Games involving Crewe produce 2.82 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
  • The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 57% probability.

Chester — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Hyde Utd 1–0 2–7
2026-07-22 H L Stoke U21 0–1 11–0
2026-07-18 A W Warrington Town 2–0 2–9
2026-04-30 A L Macclesfield FC 1–2 0–8
2026-04-25 H D Kings Lynn Town 0–0 5–3
2026-04-18 A W Oxford City 2–1 3–4
2026-04-11 H W AFC Fylde 1–0 5–7
2026-04-06 A W Macclesfield FC 2–0 4–7
2026-04-03 H W AFC Telford 2–1 5–9
2026-03-28 A W Curzon Ashton 1–0 6–6

Crewe — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L Birmingham 1–2 4–0
2026-07-22 A W AFC Telford 3–0 5–2
2026-07-18 H D Stoke 1–1 1–6
2026-07-11 A W Witton Albion 3–2 10–3
2026-05-02 H D Cambridge Utd 0–0 8–6
2026-04-25 A L Chesterfield 0–2 3–0
2026-04-18 H L Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 3–6
2026-04-11 A L Grimsby 2–3 5–2
2026-04-06 H W Salford City 1–0 4–3
2026-04-03 A L Accrington Stanley 0–2 7–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Chester vs Crewe?
Our model gives Chester a 26% chance, the draw 26% and Crewe 48%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Chester vs Crewe?
The corner model projects 8.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 34% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.