USA MLS Next Pro League
Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati II Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.24 – 1.12
Avg goals3.37
Our pickHome
Chicago Fire II 62%
Draw 21%
FC Cincinnati II 17%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 62% | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 83% | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 51% | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away | 55% | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | 2.03 |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 | 10% | 10.26 | 19.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.48 · Draw 4.33 · Away 4.80 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
Chicago Fire II
9.7
Expected corners
4.6
FC Cincinnati II
Chicago Fire II corner stats · FC Cincinnati II corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.7 corners in this match, with Chicago Fire II winning 5.1 of them.
- Chicago Fire II win 4.57 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.07 over their last 30.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 63% of Chicago Fire II matches.
- Across 29 recent matches, FC Cincinnati II games produced 9.07 corners on average — 4.24 taken by FC Cincinnati II themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of FC Cincinnati II matches.
- Games involving Chicago Fire II produce 3.73 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- FC Cincinnati II matches average 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (51%).
Chicago Fire II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Carolina Core FC | 5–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Crown Legacy | 2–3 | 6–10 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | W New York Red Bulls II | 3–0 | 2–11 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | D Huntsville City | 2–2 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | D Chattanooga FC | 2–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W New England Revolution II | 2–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-06-15 | H | W Inter Miami CF II | 3–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L Atlanta United II | 0–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Huntsville City | 4–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Carolina Core FC | 1–2 | 14–6 |
FC Cincinnati II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | D New England Revolution II | 2–2 | 9–8 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Toronto FC II | 1–3 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | L Orlando City SC II | 1–2 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | D New York Red Bulls II | 2–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | W Inter Miami CF II | 1–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | L CT United | 0–4 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-15 | H | L Columbus Crew II | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-08 | H | L New England Revolution II | 0–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L New York City FC II | 0–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Chattanooga FC | 1–3 | 4–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati II?
- Our model gives Chicago Fire II a 62% chance, the draw 21% and FC Cincinnati II 17%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Chicago Fire II vs FC Cincinnati II?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.