MathPredictions
▾

USA MLS

Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.94 – 1.33
Avg goals3.26
Our pickHome
Chicago Fire 51% Draw 24% Charlotte FC 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 51% 1.97 1.55
Double chance – Home or away 76% 1.32 1.21
Goals 3.25 Under 54% 1.86 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 64% 1.57 1.53
Asian handicap -1 Away +17% Value 62% 1.60 1.95
Corners 9 Over 52% 1.91 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.24 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.55  ·  Draw 4.50  ·  Away 5.50
Goals 3.25 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -1 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 9.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.0 Chicago Fire
9.2 Expected corners
4.2 Charlotte FC

Chicago Fire corner stats · Charlotte FC corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.2 corners in this match, with Chicago Fire winning 5 of them.
  • Chicago Fire win 4.58 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.71 over their last 31.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Chicago Fire matches.
  • Across 33 recent matches, Charlotte FC games produced 9.36 corners on average — 4.45 taken by Charlotte FC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Charlotte FC matches.
  • Games involving Chicago Fire produce 3.61 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 68%.
  • Charlotte FC matches average 2.76 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
  • Across their previous 8 meetings, these sides averaged 4.1 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 8 meetings with corner data averaged 10 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (54%).

Chicago Fire — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L New York City 1–3 2–1
2026-07-23 A L Inter Miami 2–3 4–8
2026-05-24 H W Toronto FC 2–1 3–4
2026-05-17 A W CF Montreal 2–0 3–16
2026-05-14 A W DC United 3–1 8–7
2026-05-10 H L NY Red Bulls 1–3 6–3
2026-05-03 H L FC Cincinnati 2–3 10–1
2026-04-30 H L St. Louis City SC 1–2 5–5
2026-04-26 H W Kansas City 5–0 4–2
2026-04-19 A D FC Cincinnati 3–3 1–9

Charlotte FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W NY Red Bulls 2–0 1–6
2026-07-23 H D Atlanta Utd 2–2 6–3
2026-05-24 H W New England 1–0 3–4
2026-05-17 H W Toronto FC 3–1 7–3
2026-05-14 H L New York City 0–1 8–2
2026-05-10 H D FC Cincinnati 2–2 7–4
2026-05-03 A L New England 0–1 5–3
2026-04-29 H L Atlanta Utd 0–2 6–2
2026-04-26 A L Nashville SC 2–4 4–6
2026-04-23 A L Orlando City 1–4 4–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC?
Our model gives Chicago Fire a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Charlotte FC 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC?
The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.