Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Queretaro (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.35 – 0.54
Avg goals2.90
Our pickHome
Chivas Guadalajara (W) 77%
Draw 17%
Queretaro (W) 6%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 77% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 94% | 1.07 | 1.00 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 55% | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 | 15% | 6.55 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.22 · Draw 5.50 · Away 9.00 |
| Goals 3.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.7
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
10.3
Expected corners
3.6
Queretaro (W)
Chivas Guadalajara (W) corner stats · Queretaro (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 59%
Under 41%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.3 corners here; Chivas Guadalajara (W) are forecast for 6.7.
- Chivas Guadalajara (W) matches average 10.24 total corners (5.29 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
- Chivas Guadalajara (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 55% of the time.
- Queretaro (W) win 3.84 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.03 over their last 31.
- Queretaro (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- Chivas Guadalajara (W) matches average 2.58 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
- Games involving Queretaro (W) produce 3.71 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 48%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 55% probability.
Chivas Guadalajara (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | A | L Pachuca (W) | 0–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W Pachuca (W) | 2–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D Toluca (W) | 1–1 | 8–8 |
| 2026-04-21 | A | D Juarez FC (W) | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Tigres UANL (W) | 2–2 | 0–6 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | W Mazatlan FC (W) | 1–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-03-30 | A | D Tijuana (W) | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | D Monterrey (W) | 0–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-16 | H | D Pachuca (W) | 1–1 | 0–7 |
| 2026-03-11 | H | W Club America (W) | 3–2 | 0–8 |
Queretaro (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Santos Laguna (W) | 0–3 | 4–12 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | L Club America (W) | 1–4 | 5–9 |
| 2026-04-02 | A | D Puebla (W) | 0–0 | 6–10 |
| 2026-03-30 | H | W Juarez FC (W) | 2–1 | 8–11 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | L Tijuana (W) | 0–3 | 7–5 |
| 2026-03-16 | A | L Tigres UANL (W) | 0–6 | 1–8 |
| 2026-03-13 | H | L Atlas (W) | 0–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-02-23 | A | L Necaxa (W) | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-02-17 | A | L Atletico San Luis (W) | 1–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-02-10 | H | D Mazatlan FC (W) | 1–1 | 6–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
- Our model gives Chivas Guadalajara (W) a 77% chance, the draw 17% and Queretaro (W) 6%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 59% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.