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Europe Friendlies

Cittadella vs Padova Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.23 – 1.37
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Cittadella 32% Draw 29% Padova 39%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 39% 2.56 2.10
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.20
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.85 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.27 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.80  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.10
Goals 2.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 47 recent matches, Cittadella games produced 8.60 corners on average — 4.79 taken by Cittadella themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Cittadella matches.
  • Padova matches average 9.77 total corners (4.00 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Padova matches.
  • Games involving Cittadella produce 2.45 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
  • Padova matches average 2.41 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
  • Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 2 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 10.2 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).

Cittadella — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A D Cremonese 1–1 2–5
2026-07-25 A W Torino 1–0 6–5
2026-05-14 A D Ravenna 1–1 4–5
2026-05-11 H D Ravenna 2–2 2–8
2026-05-07 H W Lumezzane 1–0 3–9
2026-05-03 H D Arzignano Valchiampo 2–2 4–2
2026-04-26 H L Giana Erminio 0–2 4–2
2026-04-19 A W Novara 1–0 7–7
2026-04-12 H L Trento 1–3 7–4
2026-04-04 A L Union Brescia 1–2 6–4

Padova — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-22 A L Sassuolo 1–4 4–4
2026-05-09 A W Cesena 4–3 3–11
2026-05-01 H W Pescara 1–0 3–6
2026-04-25 A L Virtus Entella 0–1 3–5
2026-04-12 H W Empoli 1–0 4–4
2026-04-05 A L Frosinone 0–2 5–7
2026-03-21 H L Palermo 0–1 9–4
2026-03-18 A L Venezia 1–3 1–9
2026-03-14 H L Catanzaro 1–3 3–6
2026-03-07 A L Avellino 0–1 3–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Cittadella vs Padova?
Our model gives Cittadella a 32% chance, the draw 29% and Padova 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.