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Chile Tercera

Club Aguara vs Chimbarongo FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.54 – 0.90
Avg goals2.44
Our pickHome
Club Aguara 51% Draw 28% Chimbarongo FC 21%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 51% 1.96 1.62
Double chance – Home or draw 79% 1.26 1.12
Goals 2.5 Under 56% 1.78 1.95
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.91 –
Corners 9.5 Under 52% 1.93 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.52 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.62  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 4.50
Goals 2.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Club Aguara
9.3 Expected corners
4.7 Chimbarongo FC

Club Aguara corner stats · Chimbarongo FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.3 corners here; Club Aguara are forecast for 4.6.
  • Club Aguara matches average 9.44 total corners (3.44 won per game) across their last 25 with corner data.
  • Club Aguara games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
  • Chimbarongo FC win 5.04 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.12 over their last 26.
  • Chimbarongo FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 65% of the time.
  • Club Aguara matches average 3.12 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
  • Games involving Chimbarongo FC produce 2.23 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
  • The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 56% probability.

Club Aguara — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Malleco Unido 0–1 2–8
2026-07-12 A D Rodelindo Roman 1–1 6–5
2026-07-06 A D Quintero Unido 1–1 3–8
2026-06-27 H D Lautaro de Buin 1–1 2–5
2026-06-21 A L Atletico Oriente 1–2 1–4
2026-06-14 A L Comunal Cabrero 0–1 3–4
2026-06-08 H W Futuro FC 2–0 2–0
2026-05-31 A W CD Constitucion Unido 2–1 2–8
2026-05-03 A D Chimbarongo FC 1–1 4–8
2026-04-25 H D Malleco Unido 1–1 1–7

Chimbarongo FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H L CD Constitucion Unido 0–1 4–3
2026-07-12 H D Deportes Rancagua 1–1 5–4
2026-07-05 H L Naval Talcahuano 0–1 4–2
2026-06-29 A D Futuro FC 0–0 6–3
2026-06-22 A L Malleco Unido 0–3 5–5
2026-06-14 H W CD Imperial Unido 3–0 3–9
2026-06-07 A D Rodelindo Roman 1–1 3–9
2026-05-31 H W Quintero Unido 2–1 7–6
2026-05-03 H D Club Aguara 1–1 8–4
2026-04-26 A L CD Constitucion Unido 1–2 3–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Club Aguara vs Chimbarongo FC?
Our model gives Club Aguara a 51% chance, the draw 28% and Chimbarongo FC 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Club Aguara vs Chimbarongo FC?
The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.