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Mexico Liga de Expansion

Club Atletico La Paz vs Alacranes de Durango Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.17 – 1.52
Avg goals2.69
Our pickAway
Club Atletico La Paz 28% Draw 28% Alacranes de Durango 44%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away +32% Value 44% 2.28 3.00
Double chance – Home or away 72% 1.39 1.32
Goals 2.5 Over 50% 1.99 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 55% 1.82 –
Asian handicap 0 Away +17% Value 61% 1.64 1.78
Corners 9.5 Over +13% Value 60% 1.68 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.52 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.35  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 3.00
Goals 2.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78
Corners 9.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.5 Club Atletico La Paz
10.3 Expected corners
6.8 Alacranes de Durango

Club Atletico La Paz corner stats · Alacranes de Durango corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 60% Under 40%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.3 corners here; Club Atletico La Paz are forecast for 3.5.
  • Club Atletico La Paz matches average 10.97 total corners (4.74 won per game) across their last 31 with corner data.
  • Club Atletico La Paz games clear the 9.5 corner line 65% of the time.
  • Alacranes de Durango win 6.85 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.23 over their last 26.
  • Alacranes de Durango games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
  • Club Atletico La Paz matches average 3.19 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
  • Games involving Alacranes de Durango produce 2.88 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 50% probability.

Club Atletico La Paz — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Atletico Morelia 2–4 0–0
2026-04-26 H L Jaiba Brava 1–2 7–2
2026-04-23 A L Jaiba Brava 0–2 2–10
2026-04-18 A D Atlante 1–1 2–14
2026-04-11 H D Tepatitlan de Morelos 1–1 7–9
2026-04-04 A L Irapuato 1–3 4–12
2026-03-28 H D Jaiba Brava 1–1 2–8
2026-03-21 H W Oaxaca 3–0 5–2
2026-03-15 A D Cancun FC 1–1 2–5
2026-03-08 H W Tlaxcala FC 2–0 7–1

Alacranes de Durango — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Tepatitlan de Morelos 1–0 7–4
2026-05-10 H D Deportiva Venados 0–0 8–2
2026-05-07 A L Deportiva Venados 1–2 2–3
2026-04-30 A D Halcones FC 0–0 1–4
2026-04-26 H D Zacatepec FC 1–1 11–2
2026-03-28 A D Cimarrones de Sonora FC 0–0 7–5
2026-03-16 A W ACF Zapotlanejo 3–0 11–3
2026-03-07 H W U.A. Zacatecas 3–0 6–4
2026-02-22 A W Colima 4–1 10–1
2026-02-17 H W Universidad Guadalajara II 1–0 4–0

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Club Atletico La Paz vs Alacranes de Durango?
Our model gives Club Atletico La Paz a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Alacranes de Durango 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Club Atletico La Paz vs Alacranes de Durango?
The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.