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Argentina Primera C Metropolitana

Club Mercedes vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 0-0
Expected goals1.02 – 0.80
Avg goals1.82
Our pickHome
Club Mercedes 39% Draw 35% Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 26%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 39% 2.60 2.38
Double chance – Home or draw 74% 1.36 1.26
Goals 1.75 Under 52% 1.93 1.93
Both teams to score – No 64% 1.57 1.50
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 53% 1.88 1.75
Corners 8 Under 55% 1.82 1.80
Correct score – 0-0 18% 5.68 5.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.38  ·  Draw 2.70  ·  Away 3.10
Goals 1.75 Over 1.88  ·  Under 1.93
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.05  ·  Away 1.75
Corners 8 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.1 Club Mercedes
7.7 Expected corners
3.6 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Club Mercedes corner stats · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn corner stats

Corner line 8.00
Over 45% Under 55%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 7.7 corners here; Club Mercedes are forecast for 4.1.
  • Club Mercedes win 3.75 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.84 over their last 32.
  • Club Mercedes games clear the 9.5 corner line 22% of the time.
  • Across 28 recent matches, Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn games produced 7.61 corners on average — 3.86 taken by Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn themselves.
  • Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn games clear the 9.5 corner line 18% of the time.
  • Club Mercedes matches average 1.78 goals, with both teams scoring in 34% of them.
  • Games involving Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn produce 2.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
  • The model leans Under 1.75 goals at 52% probability.

Club Mercedes — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W Berazategui 1–0 4–9
2026-07-19 H W El Porvenir 2–0 2–4
2026-07-13 H D Victoriano Arenas 1–1 6–4
2026-07-07 A W Centro Espanol 3–0 3–8
2026-06-28 H W JJ Urquiza 5–0 1–3
2026-06-15 A L CA Lugano 0–1 7–1
2026-06-07 H D Deportivo Paraguayo 0–0 3–3
2026-05-31 A D Puerto Nuevo 1–1 4–3
2026-05-24 H W Club Leandro N. Alem 2–0 2–1
2026-05-19 A L Deportivo Espanol 0–1 3–1

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Deportivo Paraguayo 1–0 6–3
2026-07-13 A L Puerto Nuevo 0–1 5–6
2026-07-05 H W Club Leandro N. Alem 3–0 1–1
2026-06-29 A W Defensores de Cambaceres 3–0 2–12
2026-06-15 A L Juventud Unida San Miguel 0–2 4–5
2026-06-07 H D Sacachispas 0–0 5–4
2026-05-31 A D Argentino de Rosario 1–1 7–7
2026-05-24 H W CA Lugano 3–2 4–2
2026-05-17 A D Yupanqui 0–0 7–1
2026-05-10 H D Berazategui 0–0 7–0

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Club Mercedes vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
Our model gives Club Mercedes a 39% chance, the draw 35% and Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 26%. The most likely score is 0-0.
How many corners are expected in Club Mercedes vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
The corner model projects 7.7 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 45% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.