MathPredictions
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New Zealand Southern League

Coastal Spirit vs Northern AFC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-1
Expected goals2.74 – 1.17
Avg goals3.91
Our pickHome
Coastal Spirit 70% Draw 17% Northern AFC 13%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 70% 1.44 1.50
Double chance – Home or draw 87% 1.15 1.13
Goals 3.75 Under 50% 2.00 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 65% 1.53 –
Asian handicap -1.25 Home 55% 1.81 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 59% 1.69 –
Correct score – 2-1 +67% Value 9% 11.35 19.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.50  ·  Draw 4.50  ·  Away 4.50
Goals 3.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -1.25 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.7 Coastal Spirit
10.4 Expected corners
3.7 Northern AFC

Coastal Spirit corner stats · Northern AFC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 59% Under 41%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.4 corners in this match, with Coastal Spirit winning 6.7 of them.
  • Coastal Spirit win 5.58 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.97 over their last 33.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 67% of Coastal Spirit matches.
  • Across 12 recent matches, Northern AFC games produced 10.58 corners on average — 3.83 taken by Northern AFC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of Northern AFC matches.
  • Games involving Coastal Spirit produce 3.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
  • Northern AFC matches average 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 42% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.75 (50%).

Coastal Spirit — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-17 A L Ferrymead Bays 0–6 4–6
2026-07-12 H W Nomads United 1–0 7–2
2026-06-27 A W Selwyn United 5–0 8–1
2026-06-21 H W Dunedin City Royals FC 2–0 10–4
2026-06-07 H L Nelson Suburbs 3–5 2–8
2026-06-01 A W Northern AFC 2–1 6–6
2026-05-23 A W Christchurch United 2–0 0–6
2026-05-17 H L Cashmere Technical 1–5 2–12
2026-05-09 A D Nomads United 1–1 0–7
2026-04-27 H W Wanaka AFC 4–2 17–2

Northern AFC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-12 A L Nelson Suburbs 0–11 0–4
2026-07-04 A L Nelson Suburbs 0–5 4–11
2026-06-27 A D Wanaka AFC 1–1 4–1
2026-06-20 H W Ferrymead Bays 2–0 5–4
2026-06-06 A L Nomads United 0–2 2–11
2026-06-01 H L Coastal Spirit 1–2 6–6
2026-05-30 H W Wanaka AFC 3–0 5–3
2026-05-23 H W Selwyn United 3–1 4–6
2026-04-27 A D Christchurch United 1–1 6–5
2026-04-18 A L Cashmere Technical 0–6 2–14

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Coastal Spirit vs Northern AFC?
Our model gives Coastal Spirit a 70% chance, the draw 17% and Northern AFC 13%. The most likely score is 2-1.
How many corners are expected in Coastal Spirit vs Northern AFC?
The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 59% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.