Central American and Caribbean Games Women
Colombia (W) vs Mexico (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.26 – 1.14
Avg goals2.40
Our pickHome
Colombia (W) 38%
Draw 30%
Mexico (W) 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 38% | 2.64 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 55% | 1.81 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 8 | Under +10% Value | 58% | 1.71 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.98 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.20 · Draw 3.30 · Away 2.80 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 8 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.4
Expected corners
Corner line 8.00
Over 42%
Under 58%
Match trends
- Colombia (W) matches average 7.33 total corners (4.42 won per game) across their last 12 with corner data.
- Colombia (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 25% of the time.
- Mexico (W) win 4.71 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.14 over their last 7.
- Mexico (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 29% of the time.
- Colombia (W) matches average 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Mexico (W) produce 2.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 14%.
- The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.7 across their last 9 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 57% probability.
Colombia (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | W Jamaica (W) | 5–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-10 | A | W Paraguay (W) | 4–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Uruguay (W) | 1–0 | 5–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D Argentina (W) | 0–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-15 | H | W Chile (W) | 2–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Venezuela (W) | 2–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | L USA (W) | 0–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-03-05 | A | W Argentina (W) | 1–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-03-02 | A | L Canada (W) | 1–4 | 1–3 |
| 2025-10-29 | A | W Ecuador (W) | 2–1 | 5–2 |
Mexico (W) — last 7 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | D Puerto Rico (W) | 0–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-09 | A | L Australia (W) | 1–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W Australia (W) | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Puerto Rico (W) | 6–0 | 5–0 |
| 2026-03-08 | H | W Brazil (W) | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2025-10-27 | H | W New Zealand (W) | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2025-10-24 | H | W New Zealand (W) | 1–0 | 6–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Colombia (W) vs Mexico (W)?
- Our model gives Colombia (W) a 38% chance, the draw 30% and Mexico (W) 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Colombia (W) vs Mexico (W)?
- The corner model projects 7.4 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 42% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.