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Wales Premier League

Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin BGC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.22
Avg goals2.63
Our pickHome
Colwyn Bay 40% Draw 29% Trefelin BGC 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 40% 2.49 1.27
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.40 1.06
Goals 3 Under +19% Value 66% 1.53 1.98
Both teams to score – Yes +9% Value 54% 1.84 2.00
Asian handicap -1.5 Away +51% Value 80% 1.24 1.98
Corners 10 Over 52% 1.94 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 +64% Value 14% 7.33 12.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.27  ·  Draw 5.50  ·  Away 6.50
Goals 3 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -1.75 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98
Corners 10 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Colwyn Bay
10.1 Expected corners
4.7 Trefelin BGC

Colwyn Bay corner stats · Trefelin BGC corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.1 corners here; Colwyn Bay are forecast for 5.4.
  • Colwyn Bay matches average 9.71 total corners (5.22 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
  • Colwyn Bay games clear the 9.5 corner line 51% of the time.
  • Trefelin BGC win 6.35 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.81 over their last 31.
  • Trefelin BGC games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
  • Colwyn Bay matches average 2.66 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
  • Games involving Trefelin BGC produce 3.55 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 32%.
  • The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 66% probability.

Colwyn Bay — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-11 H D Altrincham 2–2 5–6
2026-07-07 H W CPD Y Rhyl 3–2 10–2
2026-07-04 H L Denbigh Town 1–2 3–2
2026-06-27 A W Bala Town 4–0 5–0
2026-04-25 H D Penybont 0–0 5–3
2026-04-19 A D Connah's Quay 1–1 9–5
2026-04-03 H L Caernarfon 0–2 7–6
2026-03-28 A D Penybont 0–0 6–1
2026-03-21 A W The New Saints 2–0 3–3
2026-03-14 H W Barry Town 3–1 1–3

Trefelin BGC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-04 A L Carmarthen 2–4 3–6
2026-04-18 A W Newport City 5–0 3–3
2026-04-04 H W Treowen Stars 6–0 14–2
2026-03-31 A W Cwmbran Celtic 8–1 8–1
2026-03-28 A W Pontypridd Utd 3–1 11–4
2026-03-21 A W Cardiff Draconians 4–0 5–0
2026-03-18 H L Cambrian United 0–4 3–5
2026-03-07 H W Aberystwyth 4–0 6–5
2026-03-05 H W Cardiff Draconians 3–1 15–4
2026-02-28 A W Llantwit Major 1–0 3–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin BGC?
Our model gives Colwyn Bay a 40% chance, the draw 29% and Trefelin BGC 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin BGC?
The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.