Elite Club Friendlies
Como vs Famalicao Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.82 – 1.07
Avg goals2.88
Our pickHome
Como 54%
Draw 25%
Famalicao 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 54% | 1.86 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 52% | 1.92 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.39 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.65 · Draw 3.80 · Away 4.10 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 46 recent matches, Como games produced 7.93 corners on average — 4.63 taken by Como themselves.
- Como games clear the 9.5 corner line 26% of the time.
- Famalicao matches average 10.59 total corners (5.38 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
- Famalicao games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
- Como matches average 2.65 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
- Games involving Famalicao produce 2.22 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 38%.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 51% probability.
Como — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | A | W Cremonese | 4–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Parma | 1–0 | 15–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Verona | 1–0 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D Napoli | 0–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Genoa | 2–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | L Inter Milan | 2–3 | 7–9 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Sassuolo | 1–2 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | L Inter Milan | 3–4 | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Udinese | 0–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | W Pisa | 5–0 | 7–1 |
Famalicao — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Alverca | 1–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | D Estrela Amadora | 0–0 | 10–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D Benfica | 2–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Estoril | 1–0 | 4–9 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | D Braga | 2–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | D Moreirense | 1–1 | 13–0 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | D FC Porto | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Nacional | 1–0 | 7–6 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | W Guimaraes | 2–1 | 11–3 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | W FC Arouca | 1–0 | 5–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Como vs Famalicao?
- Our model gives Como a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Famalicao 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.