Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Prediction

Match trends

• The corner model expects around 9.4 corners here; Connah's Quay are forecast for 5.1.
• Connah's Quay matches average 8.50 total corners (4.66 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
• Connah's Quay games clear the 9.5 corner line 32% of the time.
• Caernarfon win 4.88 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.65 over their last 43.
• Caernarfon games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
• Connah's Quay matches average 3.03 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.
• Games involving Caernarfon produce 3.42 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
• The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals per game.
• Corners have averaged 12.2 across their last 10 direct meetings.
• The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 55% probability.

Connah's Quay — last 10 matches

Caernarfon — last 10 matches

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon?

Our model gives Connah's Quay a 44% chance, the draw 26% and Caernarfon 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.

How many corners are expected in Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon?

The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.

How are these predictions calculated?

Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.